Sometimes in gambling sports, it is what you DON’T Do that counts.   Monday Night Football tonight offers little value in my opinion on the Las Vegas Line offered.  Off a 9-0 Sweep the last 2 Sundays with Premium and teaser Plays and cashing both my free plays in the NFL over the past 2 weekends as well, I am in sync in the NFL.  My 2 team 6 Point Teaser plays are 6-1 in the NFL this year, cashing both Denver and San Diego yesterday in a Teaser where I teased both those teams through the Key numbers of 6 and 7 to get VALUE out of a line.  Many think Teasers are an exotic wager that bears little fruit, I have to strongly disagree, since you are handicapping and betting numbers, not games.  I am not forcing a play here as a handicapper just to sell a play even though I am hot and could sell a ton of plays on this game, but I will offer up some sound advice on it.

Tonight’s Detroit @ Seattle game has a 1-2 team laying double digits in the NFL.  As an 0-2 team last week Seattle laid 15 points to the Bears and covered the number.  I cannot articulate enough that a double digit spread in the NFL is a TON of points and I rarely if at all will ever lay double digits. One thing a recreational sports bettor will do is solely base a bet based on what they saw last week.  Detroit looked bad getting hammered by Denver at home on Sunday Night and Seattle destroyed a bad Bears team with Claussen at QB for them in that game. Overreaction to what you saw has broken many a bankroll gents.

The VALUE in betting this game is manipulating this line, Side and Total, in a same game 2 team teaser to get some decent numbers to work with.  The biggest concern I have is which way to tease the Side.  Do you tease Seattle down to -4 versus -10 , or tease the Lions up through 13 and 14, key numbers on the high side.  You have the 2 starting running backs out, Bell for Detroit and Lynch for Seattle.  That is a bigger advantage for Detroit as Ameer Abdullah is damn near a starter for Detroit anyway, and the rookie out of Nebraska has impressed early.  Seattle’s options after Lynch are limited and he is the key to their offense.

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