2012 Fantasy Football Over and Under

Fantasy football is becoming a gambling man’s sport more and more. Fantasy owners take risks on who to draft and even sometimes actually bet money on who will win the league, but either way there is a good amount of gambling done in the sport.  Las Vegas is taking it to a new level, but either way it is still a growing trend in fantasy sports and will lead to some strong debates across war rooms this summer. Below is my fantasy football over and under report for the upcoming season:

Offensive Over/ Under:

 

QB Aaron Rodgers, GB: Passing Touchdowns – 40

OVER – Rodgers had a great fantasy season last year with 45 touchdowns and just over 4,600 passing yards.  He is really maturing well with his wideouts and has many more 40-plus-touchdown seasons left.

Rob Gronkowski, NE: Receiving Touchdowns – 13

OVER – “Gronk” has completely changed the way fantasy football owners’ look at the tight end position.  Gronkowski caught an unbelievable 17 touchdowns and it is hard to think that his numbers will start to go down.

WR Calvin Johnson, DET: Receiving Touchdowns – 15

UNDER-“Megatron” had a mega-season in 2011. He caught an amazing 16 touchdowns last year and he is just hitting his prime.  However, it is unlikely that the Lions will match their insane numbers from last year, so expect all of players in Detroit to take a see their fantasy numbers take a hit.

QB Drew Brees, NO: Passing Yards – 5,300

UNDER-Breed has been getting better and better with each passing season, and 2011 was a record breaking year for the former Sportsman of the year. However, it is hard to believe that he will repeat his unheard-of 5,400-yard season. Expect him to throw over 5,000 yards, but just barely get over that mark.

K Sebastian Janikowski, OAK: 50+ yard field goals – 6

OVER – Janikowski has perhaps the strongest leg in the history of the game and always has a chance to drill a 50-yarder through the uprights.  His long bombs can be a huge boast for fantasy owners, as most leagues award extra points for any field goal over 50 yards. Expect him to drill another 6-plus 50 yard field goals this season and be one most valuable of the fantasy kickers again in 2012.

Quarterbacks with over 4,000 Passing Yards – 8

OVER – It has become a passing league and it does not look like it will be changing anytime soon.   Last season 10 quarterbacks threw over 4,000 yards and the quarterback position has become the deepest in fantasy football.

 

Individual Defensive Player (I.D.P.) Over/Under

LB London Fletcher, WSH : Total Tackles – 140

OVER – Fletcher seems to discover the fountain of youth every season, as the 37-year old led the NFL with 166 tackles last year and has not missed a game in his 14-year career.  He has recorded over 125 tackles for ten straight seasons and has become a fantasy All-Star.

CB Charles Woodson, GB: Interceptions – 6

UNDER- Woodson is getting older with each passing season, so it is hard to believe that Woodson will continue his insane pace.

DE Mario Williams, BUF: Sacks – 10

OVER- The Buffalo Bills’ made a huge splash in the off-season by signing Williams to monster $100 million dollar contract.  Williams will get tons of room to work with Buffalo’s beefy new line, so expect him to easily reach the 10-sack plateau.

CB Morris Claiborne, DAL: Interceptions – 4

OVER – The rookie cornerback is one of the best shutdown corners to come out a while.  He may not be the natural speedster that Patrick Peterson is, but he has the  coverage skills to lead the NFL in picks down the road.

 

Miscellaneous Over/Under: 

Brett Favre Mentions – 20 

Every season there are team’s who are in desperate for a reliable starting quarterback and think about giving old #4 a call.  Favre only retired a year ago, so if he were to ever come back, it would be sooner rather then later.  Despite all the media attention again this season, expect the Wrangler Man to be fishing and hunting this fall.

 

Detroit Lions’ Suspensions – 3

The Detroit Lions have been in the news on  a daily basis over the last two years, and unfortunately it has not been all about their recent success. The team is having players suspended and arrested at an alarming pace, so expect at least three suspensions to come down from the league headquarters this season.

 

Follow me on Twitter @adammcgill83


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