Fantasy Basketball: 2 Round Mock Draft
Fantasy Basketball: 2 Round Mock Draft
When preparing for this year’s draft there are many things to focus on, the first being to identify what scoring system you league chooses. This can shape your whole draft strategy.
If you’re in a rotisserie league you are focusing on drafting based on what your roster’s weakness’ are. A balanced attack is key in getting points in as many categories as possible throughout the course of the year. These leagues are for fantasy owners who pay close attention to statistical trends, and making sure your players compliment each other. After you take your first two picks, start piecing together a team that will fill each other’s weaknesses.
In a head-to-head format, you focusing on taking overall talent with every pick no matter what your current roster needs are. You are looking at overall value of your team, not necessarily a balanced team. This format is for the competitive types who look to dominate their opponent with more talented rosters on a weekly basis (similar to fantasy football).
In either format, it always helps to draft players who help in multiple categories. Scoring is easy to find, but if that player also averages 2 steals a game he’s got more upside. Why is Chris Paul such a coveted draft day pick? He fills up a stat sheet.
Other variables to account for are the studs that have changed cities, and how that will affect their fantasy value. Different teams and different roles play a lot into where a player should be drafted. Also, be aware of injury updates, as you don’t want to take a player in the first round that may miss significant time.
For this mock draft we were using a head to head format with 10 teams. As always, you can’t win your league in the first two rounds, but you sure can lose it. The first two picks in both kinds of leagues will be similar, so that is what we will focus on. Here are the results from each pick from those first two rounds with a little background as to why they were picked.
20) PG Ty Lawson, Denver Nuggets
Ty Lawson, Denver Nuggets
Lawson really came on strong at the end of last year. Lawson takes it to the hole like his life depends on it and is deceptively fast. He will only improve last year’s stat line (16.4 pts, 3.7 boards, and 1.3 steals, 48 FG%). However, as PG is fairly deep this year, taking him at the end of the second will be reaching. His value is around the mid to end of the third round for my taste.
19) PF Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks
Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks
I’m going to stay away from Dirk in this year’s draft. With a knee surgery just waiting to happen (most likely a scope) you have got think Dirk will miss at least 2-3 weeks, then have to get back into shape. The bottom line is that he is an aging star on a team that is rebuilding with an upcoming surgery. Someone in your league will take him in the first two or three rounds. Don’t be that guy.
18) PF/C DeMarcus Cousins, Sacramento Kings
DeMarcus Cousins, Sacramento Kings
Cousins clearly has a high upside, but is an intimidating pick due to immaturity issues combined with low FT% and FG%. That being said, if Cousins can build on the second half of last year and keep his head straight, he can dominate the boards, blocks, and help with points.
17) PF/C Serge Ibaka, Oklahoma City Thunder
Serge Ibaka, Oklahoma City Thunder
He is the epitome of a roto player. Ibaka will give you one thing and one thing only. Why is he a top 20 guy then? Because that one thing, blocks, are hard to come by. He is a glue guy, who will give you a definite edge in a category hard to win consistently.
16) PF/C LeMarcus Aldridge
LeMarcus Aldridge, Portland Blazers
Aldridge went down at the end of last year with a hip injury that is completely healed. Before the injury, he was a beast averaging 21 points and 8 rebounds. The big man also can knock down free throws with a 81.4 percent FT%. Look for the big man to be a walking double double this year.
15) SF/PF Carmelo Anthony, New York Knicks
Carmelo Anthony, New York Knicks
Melo and Amare Stoudemire will dominate the New York Knicks offense this year with new coach Mike Woodson. How will they mesh? We will find out. But, the 15th pick in your draft is a fair draft position for this high upside SF. Conservatively, he will average around 21 points a game and 5 rebounds.
14) SF/PF Josh Smith, Atlanta Hawks
Josh Smith, Atlanta Hawks
If you can get Smith in the second round, as this guy did, this would be an absolute steal. 10 boards, 20 points, and 2 blocks a game is totally conceivable for this, still young, stud. SF gets questionable very quickly in this year’s draft, grabbing a stud like Smith is a must. I can easily justify taking Smith in the first round.
13) PG Rajon Rondo, Boston Celtics
Rajon Rondo, Boston Celtics
Like Ibaka, You know exactly what you are getting from Rondo. He’s the epitome of a point guard, solid assists and steals. With Ray Allen now in Miami, it seems as though Rondo will now be asked to be a scoring threat. However, until we can rely on him to put up these points, he will not be a top 10 draft pick.
12) PG Kyrie Irving, Cleveland Cavaliers
Kyrie Irving, Cleveland Cavaliers
This young talent was a late round draft pick that had tremendous upside last year. That upside came to light as he shot close to 47% from the field and almost 40% from three-land. Irving also had 18.5 points a game. Look for an even better sophomore year. With such depth at point guard this year, I will wait until the second or third round for these guys.
11) C Andrew Bynum, Philadelphia 76ers
Andrew Bynum, Philadelphia 76ers
With news coming out of Philadelphia that Bynum has already been sidelined a few weeks due to another injection in his inured right knee, some fantasy owners are hesitant to take the big man. Is this news enough to pass on him in the first round? I don’t think so. Even if he is limited in minutes to start the year, he should be fine once back in basketball shape. Plus he should have a great year against sub par big men in the Eastern Conference.
10) PG/SG Dwayne Wade, Miami Heat
Dwayne Wade, Miami Heat
Wade will be ready to go to start the season coming off knee surgery. The 10th pick is a little high for Wade in my estimation. Even with reduced minutes, Wade is still a top 5 shooting guard. Wade can out produce the likes of James Harden, Kobe Bryant, and Joe Johnson on a nightly basis, he just doesn’t play enough minutes to be drafted in front of them.
9) PF/C Al Jefferson, Utah Jazz
Al Jefferson, Utah Jazz
Jefferson, is a top 5 finisher in the paint, and he has proved he can stay healthy over the last couple years. Utah will rely on him heavily in the post. Drafting Jefferson will lead to high field goal percentage, rebounds, and points. Look for a big year from Jefferson.
8) C Dwight Howard, Los Angeles Lakers
Dwight Howard, Los Angeles Lakers
In years past fantasy owners relied on Howard’s dominance on the boards, blocks, points, and field goal percentage. Fantasy owners are right in questioning his value as a Laker. His FG% will likely remain the same, but look for his scoring to diminish in an offense with Kobe Bryant and Pau Gasol needing touches. Also, he doesn’t dominate the blocks category anymore, as Serge Ibaka or JaVale McGee now do. Can we still consider him a top 10 pick? I know I won’t be taking him in the first round with these question marks.
7) SG Kobe Bryant, Los Angeles Lakers
Kobe Bryant, Los Angeles Lakers
Can German knee treatments extend a career? Just ask Bryant, and his 34-year-old knees. The seventh pick is way too high for this aged veteran. With Steven Nash now dropping dimes in Hollywood and handling the ball more, look for Bryant’s stats to take a dip. Points and assists being the main categories affected. I see Kobe as the third best shoot guard in this year’s draft, behind James Harden and Joe Johnson.
6) PG Deron Williams, Brooklyn Nets
Deron Williams, Brooklyn Nets
There were a couple of spikes in Deron William’s stats last year. Scoring, three’s made, and turnovers were among the increases. Moving into more of a run and gun offense will lend itself to these type of transitions. Williams should improve his FG%, and be able to be in the top 3 in assists this year.
5) PG Chris Paul, Los Angeles Clippers
Chris Paul, Los Angeles Clippers
I’d personally take Paul before Russell Westbrook in this year’s draft. The crafty floor general finished as the top producing fantasy point guard last year and proved he can stay healthy. I’m high on CP3, and you should be too.
4) PG Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City Thunder
Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City Thunder
This was a little high for Westbrook for my taste. I understand he averaged 23.6 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.5 assists last year, but I think you can find this value a little later. Also, small forwards and power forwards get very shallow, very quickly this year.
3) PF Kevin Love, Minnesota Timberwolves
Kevin Love, Minnesota Timberwolves
This draft was done on Friday, October 12, 2012, before the news that Love is out 6-8 weeks due to a broken hand. But I do understand why he was the 3rd overall pick. Want to fill up a variety of statistical categories with one big man? Love is your guy. He is dominant in points, rebounds, three point shooting, and free throw percentage. It’ll be hard to pass on this guy. Unfortunately, loosing this much time, close to one month, drops his value to the 2nd round.
2) SF Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City Thunder
Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City Thunder
Durant posted a monster stat line last year, averaging 28 points, 8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists. He also contributed in steals and blocks. Oh yea, he also shot just under 50% from the field and 86% from the charity stripe. Contributing to all of these categories makes him a definite top 2 pick.
1) SF/PF LeBron James, Miami Heat
LeBron James, Miami Heat
It’s like picking who your favorite kid is. This mock draft had LeBron going first, and rightfully so. He will fill a stat line like no other player. LeBron hit career high’s in FG% (53.1), rebounds (7.9), and 3Pt% (36.2). No reason to think this 28 year old will do anything but keep improving.
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