You won’t find any insider information that goes more in-depth to discover trends and information pertinent to your fantasy football success.
WRs to Perform Above Expectations:
Pierre Garcon (vs. Baltimore Ravens): Garcon‘s return to the Washington Redskins offense has been the spark that has legitimized the team’s passing attack. Running the football will continue to be the Redskins strong suit, which they demonstrated by attempting the fewest passes in the NFL over the last four weeks. The secret behind fantasy success in the Redskins’ passing game has been their knack for throwing into the end zone. With an average of three touchdowns per game, Washington has recorded 82% of their scores through the air over the past four weeks. Garcon is a tremendous talent in an offense that’s recent explosiveness has coincidentally coincided with the return of their best receiver.
Reggie Wayne (vs. Tennessee Titans): The recent hype in the Indianapolis Colts offense has been surrounding the developing rapport between Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton. However, the Tennessee secondary ranks 31st in the league against opposing #1 receivers, while they are fifth at stopping opposing #2’s. That is a promising statistic for Wayne, who has seen all of his touchdowns come at home this season. It’s not just Wayne who has shined at home, as the Colts find themselves with a record of 5-1 at Lucas Oil Stadium. Their offense has also been putting the ball up frequently and effectively during their recent games. Luck has attempted an average of 47 passes over the Colts past four contests which has accounted for 76% of their offense over that span.
Wes Welker (vs. Houston Texans): Out of the remaining weapons in the New England Patriots offense, Welker stands to benefit the most from this Monday Night matchup. Now that Julian Edelman is on injured reserve and can no longer pose a threat to Welker’s productivity, the stage is set for Welker to shine once again. Houston’s pass defense has surrendered 352 passing yards per game over their last four contests. Welker’s role as a slot receiver also means that Texans standout cornerback, Jonathan Joseph, will likely spend most of the evening assigned to Brandon Lloyd.
WRs to Perform Below Expectations:
Brandon Lloyd (vs. Houston Texans): Lloyd will likely struggle for many of the same reasons that his teammate will thrive on Monday. A showdown with Jonathan Joseph is counterproductive to the Patriots receiver, who managed just one catch for 10 yards last weekend vs. the Miami Dolphins. In addition to that, he has posted just 190 yards and zero touchdowns at home this season. Lloyd and quarterback Tom Brady have failed to live up to the chemistry that many were reporting during the preseason. The duo has combined for a 56.8% catch rate on balls targeted for Lloyd this season, which ranks #112 among receivers.
Larry Fitzgerald (@Seattle Seahawks): Fitzgerald is undoubtedly one of the most talented players in the league, but the abyss of the Arizona Cardinals quarterback situation has rendered his skills useless. When a high-character guy of Fitzgerald’s nature starts to voice his frustrations, you can begin to understand just how bad things are in Arizona. After a one catch performance from the team’s third different quarterback this season, Fitzgerald said that he had to laugh in order to keep from crying. A matchup against the tenacious Seattle secondary and the undivided attention of shutdown cornerback Richard Sherman is not promising for Fitzgerald. He only holds WR3 value at this rate, and a tough matchup against a big, physical cornerback may just warrant benching the star receiver.
Dez Bryant (@Cincinnati Bengals): Bryant has put up astronomical numbers over the past three games for the Dallas Cowboys. He has accumulated 388 yards and five touchdowns over that span leading up to the fantasy playoffs. While Bryant should post respectable numbers again this weekend, expectations should be limited. This is due in part to the differential between the Cowboys game plan on the road compared to at home. At home, 72% of their plays go through the air compared to just 57% on the road. This accounts for a difference of 340 passing yards per game at home and just 254 passing yards per game on the road. Add into the mix that the Bengals defense has allowed an average of just 9.7 points per game and one passing touchdown over their past four contests.
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