Fantasy Baseball 2013 Spotlight: Buster Posey
When it comes to the catcher position in fantasy baseball 2013, there’s Buster Posey and then there’s everyone else.
After losing his 2011 season to a horrific injury at home plate, the San Francisco Giants catcher played in 148 games in 2012, hitting a NL-leading .336 with 24 home runs and 103 RBIs on route to winning his first MVP award and leading the Giants to their second World Series championship in three years.
For those who drafted him in the later rounds, he was fantasy gold.
Now in 2013, Posey tops the rankings for catchers by about a mile or so. The soon to be 26-year old comes in at 16th overall on most fantasy draft boards, a solid 107 spots higher than his ranking last year, and he’s more than earned that ranking.
Not only is Posey the best catcher in fantasy baseball this year, but he’s one of the best pure hitters as well. All it takes is a simple glance at last year’s gaudy stats to see that he’s worth a second round pick this year, but before you reach for the Giants slugger, think twice.
There’s something you should know.
Posey hit .336 in 2012, the highest mark of his career by more than 30 points, and while he has the potential to replicate that year after year, don’t expect it to happen in 2013.
Posey’s average on balls in play last year was an insane .368, more than 50 points higher than his previous career average. If that falls down to where it should be, we could see that .336 become something more like a .310 or even less. Still good, just less.
On top of that, Posey’s 148 games played in 2012 were the most he’s played in a single season in his entire career — 40 more than the second most. You have to cut him some slack for the injury in 2011, as that was a freak thing that could have happened to anyone, but Posey has only averaged 116 games a season throughout his career.
That’s not all that great for a second round pick.
Regardless, Posey is the best catching option in 2013, and probably one of the best hitters on the board as well. He’ll be two years removed from breaking his leg in 2011, and at 26 he’ll head into this season at prime age for an explosive year.
He’s worth the second round pick, especially with the catcher position thin as always, but don’t reach into the first round for him. The stats suggest a decline in batting average this year, and that could lead to declines in everything else.
It’s just something to think about.
2013 Projections: .304 average, 24 HR, 90 RBI, 95 RS
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