Drafting a rookie SP in your fantasy baseball league can be somewhat like a blind date. The results can be great or they can be terrible, but rarely are they in between.
This year there are three rookie SPs worth a look in your draft. The format of your league will have a large part to play in your strategy. In a keeper league, especially one that involves rookie keepers, you might be OK if the player starts the season in the minor leagues. But if yours is not a keeper league, the pendulum might swing in the other direction.
Shelby Miller of the Detroit Tigers gets the nod here over the other two because he has already been named to the starting rotation. During his minor league career, his K/9 was 11. He pitched the last game of the regular season last year and allowed only one hit over six innings.
Tyler Skaggs of the Arizona Diamondbacks started six games at the major league level last year. His first three were strong, but his second three went downhill since he lost velocity, so he was shutdown for the season. His K/9 in the minors was 12, and he is in a battle for the fifth starter position on the Diamondbacks roster.
Dylan Bundy of the Baltimore Orioles progressed quickly through the minor league ranks in his first season of professional baseball. At age 20, Bundy will almost certainly start the season in the minor leagues, if for no other reason than to delay his arbitration date. The Orioles are hopeful that he can eventually be the ace of their staff, but that is certainly several years in the future.