Fantasy Baseball: The Mark Reynolds Dilemna

By Professor Bush
Anthony Grupposo – USA Today Sports

Players like Mark Reynolds of the Cleveland Indians make things tough for fantasy baseball managers.

Sure, you know you’ll get your fair share of HRs.  But you also get a player who strikes out in close to 38 percent of his plate appearances and you might get an BA below the Mendoza line, like the .198 he recorded in 2010 while playing in 145 games.

Over the last two seasons, Reynolds batted .221 with the Baltimore Orioles. If you want to understand what such an average means, you would need to have another player bat .320 to make up for a player like Reynolds to get your team average up to .270.

This spring with the Tribe, he is tantalizing fantasy managers with his .350 AVG after 40 AB and recently launched a homer which went over the scoreboard in Goodyear Ballpark in Arizona. It might have carried 500 feet.

So what do you do this season? Do you hope for another 44 HRs and 102 RBIs year like he had in 2009? At age 30 this season, is that out of the question?

I think so. He will be at DH and batting pretty low in the Tribe’s lineup this year, so the chances for RBIs could be limited. But, he still should have his share of bombs — somewhere in the range of 25 to 27 HRs would be a reasonable target for him. He’ll have eligibility at both 1B and 3B this season.

Reynolds can be a streaky hitter. So if you drafted him late, you should try to do a “sell high” and get maximum value for him when he gets hot before he cools off and kills your batting average.

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