Fantasy Football 2013: 5 Wide Receivers Who Will Disappoint

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5 Wide Receivers Who Will Disappoint in Fantasy Football 2013

dez
Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Wide receiver is the most stacked position in fantasy football this year. In most drafts, you could wait until the fifth or sixth round to draft your first one and still end up with a decent receiving corps. A lot of people are adopting a patient strategy with drafting receivers and I think that’s the smart play. There are plenty of options at the position this season.

The NFL is becoming more and more pass-happy every year. Last season, 11 quarterbacks threw for over 4,000 yards, including five who topped 4,700, both NFL records. All of those passing yards, if you can wrap your head around this, are also receiving yards. I know. Mind blown, right?

Wide receiver is also the position in which the most players come out of nowhere to become fantasy relevant. Last season for example, Danario Alexander, Cecil Shorts, James Jones, Randall Cobb and T.Y. Hilton, all either went undrafted or were taken in the last couple of rounds and were regular starters throughout much of the season. Those who watch the waiver wire closely should be able to snag at least one of these types every season.

But just because you can get a decent one later, doesn’t necessarily mean you should pass up on a great one if you can get him at a value. Last season, Calvin Johnson was targeted 205 times and broke the single-season record with 1,964 receiving yards. With a lot of people chasing running backs in the early rounds, it’s possible Johnson, or another stud WR, could drop quite a bit.

But there are some receivers who, no matter how far they drop, you still won’t want to take them. There are just too many concerns to justify how high these guys are projected at such a crowded position. These concerns include being injury prone, inconsistent, unproven or having deteriorating skills, just to name a few.

There are risks that come with drafting any player, but there are some whose risks outweigh their possible reward by far. Here are the top five wide receivers who will break your fantasy heart if you decide to take a chance on them.

Aaron Charles is a Kansas City Chiefs writer for rantsports.com. Follow him on twitter @aaroncharleskc or add him to your network on Google+

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5. Mike Wallace

mike
Robert-Mayer-USA-TODAY-Sports

Some people have Wallace as a sleeper pick this season, but I don’t agree with that. Since 2010, Wallace’s receiving yards and yards per catch have gone down each season. He hopes to bounce back with his new team, the Miami Dolphins, but it just doesn’t seem like a better situation for him.

Ryan Tannehill is a significant downgrade from Ben Roethlisberger. Tannehill is inexperienced and threw just 12 touchdowns last season. He should improve in his second season, but he will still be no Big Ben. With the chemistry he had with Roethlisberger gone, and with a weaker quarterback, I don’t see how a rebound season is going to happen for Wallace. Dwayne Bowe, Hakeem Nicks and Antonio Brown are better options who are often projected after Wallace.

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4. Dez Bryant

dez
Matthew-Emmons-USA-TODAY-Sports

Bryant’s second half last season was stunning. From weeks 10-16, he averaged 19.3 fantasy points per game. The question is: are you willing to use a late-first to early-second round pick over a seven-game hot streak? My answer is no.

Now I completely buy in to all the positive publicity about Bryant’s maturity and also believe he will be much improved from his first two seasons. What I don’t buy into is that he will get into the end zone near as often as he did during his hot streak when he scored at least once every game.

It was an amazing run, but it isn’t a large enough sample size to justify a pick that early. Plus, Bryant had another run earlier last season when he put in three one-point performances in seven games. I would wait and be just as happy with Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones or Demaryius Thomas.

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3. Wes Welker

wes
Ron-Chenoy-USA-TODAY-Sports

Welker’s situation with the New England Patriots was ideal for him. The 112 receptions he has averaged over the past six seasons will likely take a major hit with the Denver Broncos, though. Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas are big, athletic and already have great chemistry with Peyton Manning. They are going to steal a lot of Welker’s targets.

And while he had a monster season in 2011, it was the only year he cracked the top 10 at his position. Welker is 32 and moving past his prime. Projected around 35th-to-40th overall is way too high for someone who will likely be the third best option in Denver. Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne and Victor Cruz are all better options and all generally projected to go after Welker.

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2. Greg Jennings

greg
Bruce-Kluckhohn-USA-TODAY-Sports

After moving from the Green Bay Packers to the Minnesota Vikings, Jennings’ drop off in quarterbacks is about as big as you can get. He is going from Aaron Rodgers to either Christian Ponder or Matt Cassel. Ouch. On top of that, he has missed time in four of his seven years in the league, including 11 games in his last two seasons.

It probably wasn’t the smartest idea for the injury-prone receiver to bad mouth his old quarterback when he has to face the Green Bay defense twice this year. Danario Alexander, Miles Austin and T.Y. Hilton are all better choices who are usually on the board later than Jennings.

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1. Percy Harvin

per
Joe-Nicholson-USA-TODAY-Sports

There are a lot of things to love about Harvin. His quarterback situation and scoring opportunities should be much improved in 2013. He is dynamic and his upside is through the roof. The problem is, his upside has always been high and the only season he came close to realizing it was in 2011 when he finished eighth among wide receivers.

NFL.com and ESPN.com have him projected as the sixth and seventh-ranked at his position, respectively. Those projections will likely go down if Harvin's sore hip becomes something serious. But even if he doesn't end up on the PUP list, Harvin is already showing he is just too much of a gamble. If you’re going to pass on running backs in the early rounds, it should be for a much more stable option. Roddy White and Vincent Jackson are proven, better choices, and are usually projected later than Harvin, for now.

Aaron Charles is a Kansas City Chiefs writer for rantsports.com. Follow him on twitter @aaroncharleskc or add him to your network on Google+

1 of 6

5 Wide Receivers Who Will Disappoint in Fantasy Football 2013

dez
Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Wide receiver is the most stacked position in fantasy football this year. In most drafts, you could wait until the fifth or sixth round to draft your first one and still end up with a decent receiving corps. A lot of people are adopting a patient strategy with drafting receivers and I think that’s the smart play. There are plenty of options at the position this season.

The NFL is becoming more and more pass-happy every year. Last season, 11 quarterbacks threw for over 4,000 yards, including five who topped 4,700, both NFL records. All of those passing yards, if you can wrap your head around this, are also receiving yards. I know. Mind blown, right?

Wide receiver is also the position in which the most players come out of nowhere to become fantasy relevant. Last season for example, Danario Alexander, Cecil Shorts, James Jones, Randall Cobb and T.Y. Hilton, all either went undrafted or were taken in the last couple of rounds and were regular starters throughout much of the season. Those who watch the waiver wire closely should be able to snag at least one of these types every season.

But just because you can get a decent one later, doesn’t necessarily mean you should pass up on a great one if you can get him at a value. Last season, Calvin Johnson was targeted 205 times and broke the single-season record with 1,964 receiving yards. With a lot of people chasing running backs in the early rounds, it’s possible Johnson, or another stud WR, could drop quite a bit.

But there are some receivers who, no matter how far they drop, you still won’t want to take them. There are just too many concerns to justify how high these guys are projected at such a crowded position. These concerns include being injury prone, inconsistent, unproven or having deteriorating skills, just to name a few.

There are risks that come with drafting any player, but there are some whose risks outweigh their possible reward by far. Here are the top five wide receivers who will break your fantasy heart if you decide to take a chance on them.

Aaron Charles is a Kansas City Chiefs writer for rantsports.com. Follow him on twitter @aaroncharleskc or add him to your network on Google+

2 of 6

5. Mike Wallace

mike
Robert-Mayer-USA-TODAY-Sports

Some people have Wallace as a sleeper pick this season, but I don’t agree with that. Since 2010, Wallace’s receiving yards and yards per catch have gone down each season. He hopes to bounce back with his new team, the Miami Dolphins, but it just doesn’t seem like a better situation for him.

Ryan Tannehill is a significant downgrade from Ben Roethlisberger. Tannehill is inexperienced and threw just 12 touchdowns last season. He should improve in his second season, but he will still be no Big Ben. With the chemistry he had with Roethlisberger gone, and with a weaker quarterback, I don’t see how a rebound season is going to happen for Wallace. Dwayne Bowe, Hakeem Nicks and Antonio Brown are better options who are often projected after Wallace.

3 of 6

4. Dez Bryant

dez
Matthew-Emmons-USA-TODAY-Sports

Bryant’s second half last season was stunning. From weeks 10-16, he averaged 19.3 fantasy points per game. The question is: are you willing to use a late-first to early-second round pick over a seven-game hot streak? My answer is no.

Now I completely buy in to all the positive publicity about Bryant’s maturity and also believe he will be much improved from his first two seasons. What I don’t buy into is that he will get into the end zone near as often as he did during his hot streak when he scored at least once every game.

It was an amazing run, but it isn’t a large enough sample size to justify a pick that early. Plus, Bryant had another run earlier last season when he put in three one-point performances in seven games. I would wait and be just as happy with Brandon Marshall, Julio Jones or Demaryius Thomas.

4 of 6

3. Wes Welker

wes
Ron-Chenoy-USA-TODAY-Sports

Welker’s situation with the New England Patriots was ideal for him. The 112 receptions he has averaged over the past six seasons will likely take a major hit with the Denver Broncos, though. Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas are big, athletic and already have great chemistry with Peyton Manning. They are going to steal a lot of Welker’s targets.

And while he had a monster season in 2011, it was the only year he cracked the top 10 at his position. Welker is 32 and moving past his prime. Projected around 35th-to-40th overall is way too high for someone who will likely be the third best option in Denver. Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne and Victor Cruz are all better options and all generally projected to go after Welker.

5 of 6

2. Greg Jennings

greg
Bruce-Kluckhohn-USA-TODAY-Sports

After moving from the Green Bay Packers to the Minnesota Vikings, Jennings’ drop off in quarterbacks is about as big as you can get. He is going from Aaron Rodgers to either Christian Ponder or Matt Cassel. Ouch. On top of that, he has missed time in four of his seven years in the league, including 11 games in his last two seasons.

It probably wasn’t the smartest idea for the injury-prone receiver to bad mouth his old quarterback when he has to face the Green Bay defense twice this year. Danario Alexander, Miles Austin and T.Y. Hilton are all better choices who are usually on the board later than Jennings.

6 of 6

1. Percy Harvin

per
Joe-Nicholson-USA-TODAY-Sports

There are a lot of things to love about Harvin. His quarterback situation and scoring opportunities should be much improved in 2013. He is dynamic and his upside is through the roof. The problem is, his upside has always been high and the only season he came close to realizing it was in 2011 when he finished eighth among wide receivers.

NFL.com and ESPN.com have him projected as the sixth and seventh-ranked at his position, respectively. Those projections will likely go down if Harvin's sore hip becomes something serious. But even if he doesn't end up on the PUP list, Harvin is already showing he is just too much of a gamble. If you’re going to pass on running backs in the early rounds, it should be for a much more stable option. Roddy White and Vincent Jackson are proven, better choices, and are usually projected later than Harvin, for now.

Aaron Charles is a Kansas City Chiefs writer for rantsports.com. Follow him on twitter @aaroncharleskc or add him to your network on Google+


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