The arrival of Chip Kelly could mean incredible and revolutionary things for the Philadelphia Eagles’ run offense, but the quarterback position could — with Michael Vick quite ironically — hold the most conclusive fantasy-value evidence heading into 2013.
(The following analysis is based on FantasyPros aggregate average draft position drawn from major websites. The first number in parenthesis is ADP overall in a non-PPR redraft format; the second is ADP by position. I am not saying these players will be terrible or amazing, just that I see them significantly outperforming or underperforming their fantasy value at the current ADP.)
Underrated: Michael Vick (111, 14), Zach Ertz (267, 41)
After two consecutive years of inconsistency in both decision-making and accuracy, it seemed the pro game had passed Vick by. His arm-strength and speed were quite absurd for a quarterback yet turnovers and an inability to sustain a healthy passing game always crippled this unit eventually. Now Vick finds the perfect scheme with Kelly and it’s now or never. Ertz is a player I’ve been finding more and more intriguing on natural ability, and his usage makes him even more worth a flyer IMO. Pro Football Focus’ Steve Palazzolo broke it down on Twitter: “Eagles rookie TE Zach Ertz snap breakdown through two preseason games, 42 total snaps: 15 TE, 23 slot, 2 RB, 2 WR.
Overrated: DeSean Jackson (67, 26), Eagles Team Defense (237, 23)
The Eagles possess a ton of talented young players in the front-seven like Brandon Graham and Vinny Curry but there are plenty of valid questions as to how the personnel fits for a switch to 3-4. There’s been major moves in the secondary but I’m not convinced it will be any better, and would not give this unit a bench spot on my fantasy roster. The heavy run emphasis and creative use of tight-ends devalues the wide receivers in this offense, relegating him bottom-end WR3.