Indianapolis Colts’ Andrew Luck is Overvalued in Fantasy Football Drafts

Thomas J. Russo – USA TODAY Sports

Andrew Luck came into the NFL with everyone knowing he was going to be a good quarterback. He had a lot of success in his first season, but the team around him wasn’t good enough to go very far in the playoffs. His stats as a rookie have made him a popular choice at quarterback for Fantasy Football teams.

However, for those thinking of drafting him early for your Fantasy team, I have a warning for you – don’t.

The defenses in the AFC South are extremely good against passing teams. The Houston Texans‘ pass defense is already good, and the Tennessee Titans‘ passing defense has improved with the additions of George Wilson and Bernard Pollard.

Luck is the perfect choice, if you want to spend your first few early picks on receivers and running backs. He’s consistent and rarely has a bad game, but I don’t think he’s going to do something like put up 4000 yards this season.

If Indianapolis wants to make it to the playoffs, they’ll have to rely on their running game and their passing game. For a Fantasy team, you need a pass first team to get the most point production.

However, if Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Cam Newton, Peyton Manning, Robert Griffin III, Matt Ryan, Drew Brees – you get the idea – are still available, don’t waste your pick.

Luck will have a great season, but don’t let efficiency fool you. When it comes to Fantasy, what you need are touchdowns and passing yardage. There are far too many quarterbacks in the NFL who will have better Fantasy production for your team.

Taylor Sturm is an SEC Basketball Writer for RantSports.com. Follow him on Twitter @TSturmRS or add him to your network on Google


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  • Steven Arthur

    i don’t agree. The Colts still can’t run the ball very well- and with Bradshaw/Havili in the backfield- Luck will actually have checkdowns to throw to. Pair that with theWayne/Hilton/Heyward-Bey/Allen/Fleener targets- and he has a chance to well throw over 4,000 yds. If his o-line gives 1.5 seconds to throw the ball- he has a good chance of throwing 30+ touchdowns.