2013 Fantasy Football: What To Expect From Justin Blackmon
A while back I wrote about garbage time all stars being able to help your fantasy football team. After all, as fantasy football owners the real life win/loss records mean nothing to us. We only care about the individual stat line. While the real life Jacksonville Jaguars have been one of the low points of the NFL this season, they still provide a few viable fantasy options. One of those viable options is wide receiver Justin Blackmon, who returns from suspension this week.
Blackmon will be in the starting lineup for the first time this season as the Jags travel to take on the St. Louis Rams, who are allowing the 16th most fantasy points to wide receivers this season. Blackmon finished 2012 with 888 total yards and five touchdowns. He is also going to be the primary option in the passing game, as over the last four games of 2012 saw Blackmon get at least 11 targets in each game.
The Jaguars figure to be trailing in each game this season so there should be plenty of passes to go around. Blackmon is averaging 4 receptions at 13.5 yards per reception and 54.1 yards per game.
The schedule is a relatively tough, with seven games against teams that allow the 21st-28th fewest fantasy points to wide receivers. Despite that, during the fantasy playoffs or Super Bowl and the Jaguars have a very tasty matchup against the Buffalo Bills (most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers) in week 15.
His return will also help to open up things for Cecil Shorts, as oppositions can no longer focus solely on stopping Shorts in the passing attack. Fantasy owners who have Shorts do need to realize that he now becomes the second passing option but still should retain similar value. Conversely, Shorts should help to keep Blackmon open.
With bye weeks looming for fantasy owners, Blackmon could provide some solid depth in a bye week crunch. Fantasy owners shouldn’t expect Blackmon to come in and be a WR1, but he does have upside as low end WR2 or high WR3. While he is currently owned in only 43 percent of Yahoo! leagues, Blackmon should be owned in all fantasy leagues.
As always, I welcome your comments. If you think I’m wrong, I’m willing to listen. Just back it up with some facts and solid evidence. Thanks for reading and good luck this season.
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