Fantasy Football Vulture Victim: Washington Redskins’ Alfred Morris
Is it annoying? Of course it is. That’s six rushing touchdowns in the last three weeks that have been vultured from Alfred Morris (three by Roy Helu and another three on Sunday by Darrel Young), making his Fantasy owners wonder about what could have been. However, if you own Morris, I’m not dealing him, and if you don’t, I’m getting aggressive and trying to acquire him.
Helu and Young have been ridiculously efficient when given an opportunity (one score every 6.4 carries), a rate that cannot possibly continue. Morris hasn’t scored a single touchdown inside the 10-yard line this season (0-8), but he is still converting at a 30-percent rate from in close, a ratio that I’m willing to bank on moving forward.
How would you rank these two running backs?
Player A: 151 carries for 717 yards and five touchdowns
Player B: 133 carries for 686 yards and five touchdowns
You’d probably considering Player B as the running back you’d rather take a flier on, right? His higher yards per carry hint at a more dynamic style, thus giving you more upside (considering how close they are statistically) as the season progresses. Care to guess who these players are?
Player A: 2012 Alfred Morris, a top five RB in most every format.
Player B: 2013 Alfred Morris
What is he doing better this year? Morris is getting stronger as the game progresses (averaging 16.7 percent more yards per carry on attempts 11-20 than 1-10 and 14.3 percent more on carries 21-plus than 11-20). With Robert Griffin III once again looking like the dynamic athlete he was last season, defenses are being spread thin, which has allowed Helu/Young to flourish when the Washington Redskins get in close. Morris only had 22 carries inside the opponents 10-yard line last season, and with eight thus far this season, he’s still getting a similar workload. The touchdowns have come in bulk for the vultures, but make no mistake about it, this is not a committee. Morris is taking roughly 75 percent of the carries by running backs for Washington, a rate that is greater than running backs in Frank Gore and Chris Johnson, two running backs we aren’t worried about from a workload standpoint.
The Redskins still have four games against the NFC East, giving Fantasy owners every reason to be optimistic. Morris leads all running backs in yards per carry (5.2) and is going to continue to run the ball as much as anybody in the league. There might be minor regression from his 2012 season, but Morris is still a top shelf running back, but may be available for less given the attention his vultures have garnered in the past weeks.
I’m available @unSOPable23 to answer any and all of your burning questions
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