Fantasy Football 2013: Why Tony Romo Hasn’t Been Posting QB1 Numbers

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I love Tony Romo like a fat kid loves cake.

Great, now I’m hungry.

Seemingly every season, Romo is the most underrated fantasy signal callers, and serves as one of the biggest draft day bargains. Every season, folks. Romo has finished as a top-10 fantasy option in each of the last three seasons, and through 13 weeks of the 2013 season, Romo is sitting pretty at the number seven spot. He’s been good yet again, but over the last few weeks, Romo has left fantasy owners wanting more.

Like a fat kid and more cake.

So, as a major Romo fan, I decided to dive into the Dallas team and why Romo’s numbers have been hindered as of late.

Romo’s Numbers

Through the first six games of the season, Romo was averaging a healthy 24.6 fantasy points per game. Over his last games, however, Romo has slipped, averaging a pedestrian 18.5 points per game. In fact, since Week 9, Romo has finished as a top-12 quarterback just twice. Below are his fantasy totals over the last six weeks.

Week

Fantasy Points

Rank

7 14.88 QB21
8 26.84 QB7
9 24.28 QB10
10 11.12 QB22
12 19.46 QB14
13 14.90 QB21

 

It’s certainly not appealing. However, is it completely his fault?

The Dallas Team

Dallas’ defense is absolutely atrocious. They are allowing the most yards per game this season (421.6), are surrendering 6.1 yards per play and aren’t creating many turnovers. I know what you may be thinking. What does this have to do with Romo? To that, I answer.

Everything.

The longer the Cowboys defense is on the field, the fewer snaps Romo and the Dallas offense see. It’s been a trend that has continued all season long, which has capped the fantasy upside of Romo lately. Don’t get me wrong. Romo has been playing the real life quarterback position extremely well this season. He is eighth in completion percentage (64.8%), fourth in touchdowns (24) and eighth in passer rating (97.3). Dallas’ defensive inability to get off the field has hurt Romo’s fantasy totals as of late. On the season, the Cowboys offense is averaging 59.8 offensive plays per game. Only the 49ers are averaging fewer plays per contest. Meanwhile, on the defensive side of the ball, the opposition is averaging a very healthy 68.9 offensive plays per game, which is the seventh-most in football. It’s common sense, folks. If Romo isn’t on the field, he can’t put up the necessary fantasy numbers. Take a look at the amount of plays Dallas has run per game during Romo’s rather weak fantasy stint.

Plays Per Game

Week

Offensive Plays

7 75
8 56
9 63
10 43
12 62
13 55

 

Quite frankly, Romo simply hasn’t had the most opportunity to post the greatest fantasy numbers. Heck, it could be even worse, you know, if they actually gave their talented running back the football more. Romo is still going to be a top-10 weekly quarterback for me (at least) for the rest of the season. I have him 9th this week in a good matchup against a very depleted Chicago secondary. However, after giving DeMarco Murray 20 or more touches for the first time since Week 3 last week (resulting in three TDs), I think Dallas looks to run down the Bears throat. Chicago currently is allowing almost 20 more rushing yards per game than any other team in football on the year. If Dallas was smart, they’d feature Murray religiously.

Romo is going to finish the season as a top-10 fantasy signal caller, barring some sort of stretch of awful performances. However, lately, he’s been a better real life quarterback than fantasy, which is frustrating. Until Dallas’ defense improves, Romo will continue to be a victim of volume deficiency.

Adam Pfeifer is a featured fantasy sports columnist for Rant Sports.

You can follow him on Twitter @aPfeiferRS.

 


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