Fantasy Basketball 2013: Strong Plays For December 26th
After four rather weak and one great Christmas day games, Thursday night doesn’t offer much for fantasy owners.
Only four games are on tap for Thursday night’s action, so fantasy players don’t have a ton to choose from, which stinks. However, there are still a few intriguing matchups and plays for tonight, so let’s get to it.
Chris Paul, PG (@ POR)
FPPG allowed to PG: 41.69 (8th-most)
Like I said, there isn’t much to choose from tonight, so if you’re going to spend, make sure you spend on a guy like Paul. CP3 hasn’t posted fewer than 35 DraftDay fantasy points since December 15th, and I love his matchup tonight. Portland coughs up the eighth-most fantasy points to point guards, and as good as Damien Lillard is, the second-year point guard is still pretty vulnerable on the defensive end. Meanwhile, Lillard is still turning the ball over 2.2 times per game (2.6 over his last five), and Paul is averaging a healthy 2.3 steals per contest this year. Opposing point guards are averaging 18.75 shot attempts per game, which is good for the sixth-most in the NBA. And over the last five games, point guards are averaging 16 points, 8.2 assists and five rebounds per game against Lillard and the Trail Blazers.
Kyle Korver, SG (@ CLE)
FPPG allowed to SG: 35.50 (13th-most)
I like Korver a lot tonight, and have tried to plug him into as many lineups as possible. He’s been strong over his last five outings, averaging 14.6 points and 4.4 triples per contest. That’s why most people target him in fantasy, and no surprise, it’s why I like him tonight. The Cavaliers are above the league average in fantasy points allowed per game to shooting guards, but they also are very vulnerable from beyond the arc. On the year, 25.5 percent of points scored on Cleveland have come from three, the fourth-most in the NBA. Their 25.9 points from beyond the arc per game is also the fourth-most among defenses. Considering Korver is logging 34 minutes per game to go along with a healthy six triples per contest, there is some serious volume here. Shooting guards in particular are averaging 2.82 three-pointers per game this season, which is also the fourth-most.
Paul Millsap, PF (@CLE)
FPPG allowed to PF: 41.04 (13th-most)
It’s hard to get away from Millsap, who is quite possibly the hottest player in the month of December. During this month, the newly acquired power forward is averaging a stellar 18.4 points, 10.5 rebounds, 3.3 assists, one block and 1.5 steals per contest. He is also averaging 41 fantasy points per game during that span. Cleveland doesn’t scare me whatsoever, and Millsap has just been too hot to not use in a favorable matchup. Cleveland opponents are averaging a healthy 5.9 blocks per game, which is tied for the fifth-most in the NBA. Also, Millsap is finding an outside touch as of late, sinking 1.9 triples per game during December. On the year, he is now nailing 1.1 three-pointers per game. Opposing power forwards against the Cavs are hitting 0.83 threes per game, which is the eighth-most in the league. And I did just list a bunch of numbers showcasing how poorly Cleveland defends the long ball.
Adam Pfeifer is a featured fantasy sports columnist for Rant Sports.
You can follow him on Twitter @aPfeiferRS.