Fantasy Football: Predicting Arian Foster's Value for 2014

By Bill Pivetz
Arian Foster
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

In most drafts, Arian Foster was the No. 2 overall pick, right behind Adrian Peterson. He was playing like a top-three running back for the first few games. He scored 80 fantasy points in the first six games, despite only have two total touchdowns. He did have over 100 total yards in three straight games.

Then, injury struck. He was inactive for Weeks 9 and 10. It was later revealed that he had a bulging disc and will require surgery, putting him on the shelf for the rest of the season. Hopefully Foster owners were able to pick up Ben Tate, who filled in nicely.

Heading into 2014, Tate believes he won’t be back with the Houston Texans. Foster will most likely get the majority of the carries with Dennis Johnson serving as the backup. However, can Foster stay healthy all season to be an every-down back? Only time will tell.

Having surgery when he did helped Foster’s value for 2014 a little. Looking at Rob Gronkowski, he had back surgery in the summer and didn’t return until Week 7. Granted, he was very limited in training came, but came out firing on all cylinders. Foster had the surgery early enough that he should be able to partake in training camp and be ready for the regular season.

However, with a lot of questions unanswered, Foster is a huge risk to draft right now. He’s not to be drafted as a top-20 running back, possibly even top-30. Though, every league will have an owner who drafts Foster earlier than usual, so let him. There are other running backs to draft that will be 100 percent in Week 1.

His value right now is at RB3 or RB4 status. A safe round to draft Foster would be the seventh or eighth, after you secured your starting lineup and are looking for depth.

Bill Pivetz is a fantasy football writer for Rant Sports. Follow him on Twitter @Mr_Piv1127.

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