Fantasy Basketball 2014: Daily Dose; February 12th
With the All-Star break looming, there are going to be lots and lots of games. As in 14 on Wednesday night, which creates a boatload of decisions for daily players to make regarding their lineup.
Let’s not waste any time.
Brandon Jennings, PG (vs CLE)
FPPG allowed to PG: 43.59 (29th)
Jennings is playing some terrific basketball as of late, averaging 24.6 points, 8.8 assists, 4.2 rebounds and two steals over his last five contests. During that span, he is averaging an impressive 48.1 fantasy points per game, serving as one of the better options at his position. His price has gone up a bit, but is still worth it tonight against a Cleveland team that cannot defend point guards. Only the 76ers (duh) are coughing up more fantasy points to the position, while opposing point guards rank second in assists and first in rebounds against the Cavs, two categories in which Jennings has been strong in lately. For as good as Kyrie Irving is on offensive, he is very inept on the defensive end, so Jennings should exploit this favorable matchup. The first time he played Cleveland this year, he went off for 21 points and 13 assists, and considering the Cavs are allowing the third-most assists per game (25.1) and 8th-most points per game (102.3), Jennings could certainly post a similar line tonight.
Gordon Hayward, SG (vs PHI)
FPPG allowed to SG: 38.29 (29th)
Okay, okay. All kidding aside, Hayward gets the two worst defenses in basketball in back-to-back nights, meaning he’ll be highly owned this evening too. I am a bit worried about his shooting, as over his last five games, he’s shooting just .327 percent from the field and is taking just 10.4 shots per game. Luckily, however, he’s been contributing in the peripheral stats, averaging 5.6 rebounds, 5.8 assists and 2.2 steals during that span. Lately, we’ve seen guys play less than 25 minutes and still exceed value against this poor Sixers defense, so seeing as Hayward plays almost 37 minutes per night, there’s no reason he shouldn’t. The 76ers are allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to shooting guards, but are also surrendering the most three-pointers (2.82) per game to the position, as well. Teams are also shooting 46.5 percent from the field against Philadelphia, making Hayward a candidate to get back on track with his shot. A game with a relatively high over/under, Hayward should be more than serviceable.
Lance Stephenson, SF (vs DAL)
FPPG allowed to SF: 36.64 (17th)
I never don’t like Lance.
The guy is the king of peripheral, leading the NBA in triple-doubles (4) and in a faster paced game against Dallas tonight, Stephenson could post a very fantasy friendly stat line. Stephenson plays shooting guard for the Pacers, but is eligible at small forward as well. He’ll play SG when Paul George is on the court with him, which could pay dividends. On the other side, defending him, will be Monta Ellis, who will be undersized compared to Lance and is a putrid defender. I think Stephenson will attack the rim whenever Ellis is guarding him, and with Dallas’ relatively weak defense, he should also continue to rack up assists and boards.
Anthony Davis, PF (@ MIL)
FPPG allowed to PF: 42.75 (22nd)
Fire up the Brow, folks.
One of the league’s most dominant big men against an insanely depleted Milwaukee frontcourt, Davis should eat this evening, and truth be told, he might want seconds. The Bucks are inside the bottom 10 in fantasy points allowed to power forwards, and are coughing up the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing centers, so either way, Davis has a great matchup, The Bucks are also surrendering the most rebounds per game to power forwards, coming in at a healthy 13.64. And all season long, the Bucks have struggled on the glass, allowing the 5th-most offensive and defensive rebounds per game this year. Meanwhile, Milwaukee opponents are just outside the bottom-10 in blocks, which is Davis’ bread and butter.
Kevin Love, C (vs DEN)
FPPG allowed to C: 44.99 (25th)
If you don’t want to play Davis, make sure you spend on Love tonight. He could quite possibly finish the night as the top scorer in fantasy against an undersized Denver frontcourt. I have Love at center and Davis at power forward, but it can go either way. Love will be the power forward tonight for the Wolves, which is great for his prospects, as the Nuggets are allowing the third-most fantasy points, fourth-most rebounds and fourth-most field goals made to power forwards on the year. This game should feature plenty of points and possessions, as the Timberwolves and Nuggets both play at the league’s second-highest pace (99.6). Love, as usual, will be the focal point of Minnesota’s offense, as he remains one of only three non-point guards to rank inside the top-25 in offensive touches per game. He has massive upside this evening, and on a night where top tier options are everywhere, Love definitely warrants attention.
Adam Pfeifer is a featured fantasy sports columnist for Rant Sports.
You can follow him on Twitter @aPfeiferRS.