The fantasy season for several Redskins will go through a shake-up because of new coach Jay Gruden, and fantasy players will need to be prepared in their drafts. RB Alfred Morris will be asked to be more involved in the receiving game, and if he can’t produce, Roy Helu may see much more involvement in the offense.
If the passing attempts of Andy Dalton are any indication of what Gruden wants to do with this offense, expect Robert Griffin III to expand the amount he throws the ball in 2014, which obviously benefits his receivers.
Garcon was off to a promising season when he joined the Redskins in 2012, but an injury only allowed him to play in 10 games. In 2013, however, the receiver quickly rectified his down year with 1,346 receiving yards, five games with 100 or more receiving yards and five touchdowns. The average draft position for Garcon in a 12-team league was at the very end of the sixth round, so he paid off as the 14th-highest scoring wide receiver in 2013.
There are now two major hurdles for Garcon to remain as a top-20 receiver for the 2014 season. Jackson will obviously become a major factor in the offense, but if RG3 increases his passing attempts, Garcon may only lose a limited number of targets. The Redskins would need RG3 to throw the ball as much as Peyton Manning in order for Garcon to retain or increase his fantasy value from the year before, but Jackson may not cut into his targets as much as people think.
Jackson will, however, cut into Garcon’s touchdown production.
What really should concern fantasy players about drafting Garcon however, is the involvement of TE Jordan Reed in the offense. Garcon’s value mainly revolved around his ability to gain huge chunks of yardage each game, but Reed could severely limit those numbers. With 499 receiving yards in just nine games, Gruden will make sure that Reed becomes a featured target for his quarterback.
With a larger role for Reed and the addition of Jackson, considering the possibility of drafting Garcon is a risky decision at this point of the offseason. While he may provide you fantasy relevance in any given week, there are now too many mouths to feed in Washington in the receiving game.
If Garcon can retain his 84.1 receiving yards per game average from 2013, he should still finish as a top-20 receiver. If you don’t think he can do that, than you need to completely avoid Garcon in your draft.