April showers bring May flowers.
Unless you are a fantasy owner of Domonic Brown, in which case, you are hoping those flowers turn into power.
The Philadelphia Phillies burgeoning outfielder finally had that breakout campaign a season ago, belting 27 home runs and 83 RBI. The former top prospect caused fans to become a little impatient, but that they were handsomely rewarded, though not as much as the Phillies. However, through the first month of 2014, Brown has struggled a bit, batting .243 with just one home run and 10 RBI. Luckily, we play more than one month, because if we didn’t, Charlie Blackmon would finish as the number one player in fantasy.
Just like everyone projected.
Anyway, back to Brown, who definitely hasn’t produced how fantasy owners have been expecting on draft day. He hasn’t been his best, sure, but it’s also not entirely Brown’s fault. According to FanGraphs, teams are pitching differently to Brown after his breakout 2013 season. 50 percent of pitches to Brown are landing away and outside of the strike zone. That number was just 42.2 percent last season, which is forcing Brown to chase more often. He is currently chasing at two percent more pitches landing outside of the strike zone than last year, but Brown states that if he can begin to pull towards the opposite field, he will see better success and pitchers will have to adjust. Brown is still a young player (26), and entering his prime, so he can definitely make adjustments at the plate. So if you are hoping for a bounceback from Brown, there’s a good sign.
Plus, we are now in the month of May.
Last year, via Eric Karabell, three players launched double-digit homers during May. One was Miguel Cabrera (duh), another was Chris Davis (still duh) and the other? Yup. Dom Brown, who hit a whopping 12 homers in May. This month has been the best statistical one for Brown in his career, as he’s batting .301 with 13 homers and 30 RBI. If you’ve patiently waited for him to get his bat going, now may be the time he rewards that patience. The Phillies do have some decent matchups to start Week 6, hosting the Blue Jays twice, then traveling to Toronto for two games, and then facing a Mets rotation that is surrendering the second-most home runs per nine innings (1.17). During his last 91 at-bats against the Mets, Brown has owned the, batting .308 with four home runs and 14 RBI. Starter Jenry Mejia sports the 5th-highest HR/FB ratio in baseball (20.8%), so there could be a nice little power surge out of Brown starting this week.
Hang onto Brown and enjoy the looming power surge.