Rookies seem to always have high expectations, especially that of first round picks. DeAndre Hopkins was no exception last year. Did he live up to the hype? Well, as the 50th ranked fantasy WR last season, I wouldn’t say so. But WRs start coming into their own in their second season. So we should just wrap up Hopkins sophomore effort with a bow already, shouldn’t we? Not so fast. Before you go hyping up Hopkins, take a step back on his fantasy potential this year.
Wideouts start to see vast improvements in their play during their second season. Just ask the likes of such dominant players as: Josh Gordon, Calvin Johnson, and Dez Bryant.
He’s getting a new system that new head coach Bill O’Brien is bringing to the Houston Texans that should benefit the passing game.
Starting wide receiver Andre Johnson isn’t happy with the organization at the moment. Even when things are all cleared up contractually, there’ll still be resentment and that may lead to more targets for Hopkins.
Hopkins’ success rate was a mere percentage below Johnson’s 53 percent success rate, and his catch rate was also near 60 percent.
His new QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has never shared the ball very well. He’s never produced two top-40 WRs in a season.
It doesn’t help that Johnson is the lead target. The best his backup has ever produced was Kevin Walter in 2010 with a 48th ranking among WRs – Hopkins was 50th last season.
Hopkins did not see a touchdown in the last nine games of the season. He found the end zone twice in seven games, but was shutout the rest of the season. His yards and receptions diminished over that period as well — not a good sign.
Though many are quick to say that WRs start to show their talents in their second season, I just don’t see any way that Hopkins will be able to showcase them enough to attract too much fantasy attention. He’ll be a WR3 at best, and that’s entirely on the matchup. But if things start to get really ugly with Johnson — Hopkins assuming his role — Hopkins would be a viable option, but that’s a long ways off.
Auction Value: $2
Projected Round: 12 (12 team league)
Bye Week: 10