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2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10 Most Overvalued Players

Top 10 Overvalued Players for 2014

2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft
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Back when Shonn Greene and Ryan Mathews were entering their rookie seasons in 2009, they were both projected to be great value as top 10 picks in may drafts. Lots of people took the bait. Greene finished with 540 yards and two TDs for the Jets, while Mathews finished with 678 yards and seven TDs for the Chargers. Don't be overly eager reaching for any of these ten players in your 2014 fantasy football draft.

10. Alex Smith, QB - Kansas City Chiefs

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10. Alex Smith, QB - Kansas City Chiefs

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Smith is a better football player than he is given credit for. But he is a game manager, not a fantasy points machine. Philadelphia's QB Nick Foles had more points last year in 10 starts than Smith did in 15 for the Chiefs. Smith is effective at winning games, but eye-popping numbers are not usually attached, despite being the field general in Andy Reid's offense. He's serviceable when your starting QB is on his bye, but not for much more.

9. Cam Newton, QB - Carolina Panthers

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9. Cam Newton, QB - Carolina Panthers

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Newton is a unique talent, but running QBs also present a lot more risk on draft day. Coupled with the fact that his three-time Pro Bowl left tackle Jordan Gross retired and rookie Kelvin Benjamin as well as possession receiver Jason Avant represent the organization's attempts to bolster the receiving corps, the Panthers could lack some serious explosion on offense this year.

8. Julius Thomas, TE - Denver Broncos

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8. Julius Thomas, TE - Denver Broncos

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Thomas is being heavily drafted in the 4th round of most Yahoo leagues. That's a bit high for a tight end not named Jimmy Graham. Peyton Manning will not have the same record-breaking season he had last year, so some of the players' numbers on Denver's offense are bound to take a hit. Newly acquired Emmanuel Sanders and rookie Cody Latimer also figure to compete for targets between Thomas, Wes Welker and Demaryius Thomas.

7. Arian Foster, RB - Houston Texans

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7. Arian Foster, RB - Houston Texans

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Foster played in only eight games last season, finding the end zone once on the ground. Houston's offense is rebuilding, and Foster should be viewed as a No. 2 RB at best. Don't draft him expecting to get returns like he provided in his 2010 campaign.

6. Larry Fitzgerald, WR - Arizona Cardinals

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6. Larry Fitzgerald, WR - Arizona Cardinals

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Fitzgerald sees plenty of double teams these days, and his fantasy numbers are sporadic and not consistent like they were in his early years. If Carson Palmer can limit his turnovers, it will help Fitzgerald. Michael Floyd could also be this year's Alshon Jeffery. That could either benefit Fitz's production or restrict it.

5. Keenan Allen, WR - San Diego Chargers

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5. Keenan Allen, WR - San Diego Chargers

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Sophomore slump? Allen is no longer the AFC's best kept secret. He will face plenty of double teams in 2014. Still putting up strong numbers is realistic, but given that an aging Antonio Gates, an unproven Ladarius Green, Malcom Floyd coming off a scary neck injury and a shaky running attack make up the remaining parts of the Chargers' offense, Allen should be seen as a No. 2 WR rather than a No. 1 like owners are drafting him to be.

4. Stephen Gostkowski, K - New England Patriots

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4. Stephen Gostkowski, K - New England Patriots

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I've never understood an early run on kickers in drafts. Gostkowski is regularly being selected in the ninth round of drafts. He was the top ranked kicker in 2013, but the difference between him and someone like Jay Feely is only 31 points. Feely is being taken on average in the 16th round of drafts.

3. Chris Johnson, RB - New York Jets

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Rich Barnes - USA Today Sports

3. Chris Johnson, RB - New York Jets

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Rich Barnes - USA Today Sports

Chris Johnson is no longer CJ2K. Owners who had him during his outstanding 2009 season may overpay or reach for him with the hope he will again find that form in his new surroundings. The Jets' backfield is a crowded one with Chris Ivory, Bilal Powell and Daryl Richardson in the mix. Don't expect Pro Bowl worthy numbers, but 1,400 all-purpose yards and a handful of touchdowns is reasonable.

2. Joe Flacco, QB - Baltimore Ravens

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2. Joe Flacco, QB - Baltimore Ravens

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Flacco is a Super Bowl champion and MVP, and he usually plays his best football in the winter months. He is prone to slow starts, and threw a career high 22 INTs last year. A healthy Dennis Pitta should help his numbers, but don't draft Flacco based on his winning ways (62-34 career record). He has never passed for 4000-plus yards or more than 25 TDs in a single season.

1. Johnny Manziel, QB - Cleveland Browns

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1. Johnny Manziel, QB - Cleveland Browns

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If Brian Hoyer ends up starting out of the gates, his leash will be short. Fans will start lobbying for Johnny Football to take the reins in a hurry if he falters. But right now, Manziel is 86 percent drafted in Yahoo leagues as a second-string QB. That's far more ownership than a number of QBs guaranteed starting roster spots in Week 1. If the hype is real, owners might cash in. But while Manziel sits on the bench, it's only that -- hype.