We touched on the undervalued wideouts, so, it seems about right to look at the opposite end of the spectrum and highlight some overvalued pass-catchers, right?
The receiver position is very deep in fantasy this year, and because of that, there will be a combination of overvalued and undervalued options. There are a handful of guys that I will not be touching at their current ADP. Not a chance, thanks anyway, I’ll pass.
Percy Harvin, Seattle Seahawks (WR21)
That’s how many fantasy points fantasy owners received from Harvin during his first season in Seattle. Not only is Harvin the most overrated receiver in fantasy, but he’s also the most overrated player. A guy who just can’t stay on the field, Harvin has played just 68 percent of career games and has never played more than 600 snaps in a season. And even when he did have a big, 16-game season back in 2011, the Vikings still limited him to 58 percent of the snaps, and I don’t see any team giving him a full workload with his injury history. But no, instead of limiting him, the Seahawks are going to let him return kicks. In an offense that throws the football fewer than anyone in football, Harvin’s upside is a bit limited, especially when you consider he is a near lock to miss time. And people are drafting him as basically a top-20 wideout? Blasphemy.
I’d rather have: Michael Floyd, Roddy White, Torrey Smith, Michael Crabtree.
T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts (WR24)
You can draft Hilton as your WR2. You can also drink bleach, but that’s not advised.
Hilton’s final numbers looked good last year- 82 catches, 1,083 yards and five scores. However, he had only two games last year with more than 15 fantasy points, and during those two outings, he totaled a whopping 56 fantasy points. The other 14 games? 76 fantasy points. So almost 43 percent of Hilton’s total fantasy points came off of just two games, making him a headache to own. Despite being the number one option in the passing game for more than half of the year, Hilton still only posted a consistency rating of 31.8 percent. He depends on defensive lapses and big plays to have big fantasy outings, and that’s not the type of player I tend to own.
I’d rather have: Jeremy Maclin, Kendall Wright, Emmanuel Sanders.
Sammy Watkins, Buffalo Bills (WR31)
As a Bills fan, it pains me to say this, but I’m not sold on Watkins as a top-30 fantasy wideout. Of course, it’s nothing to do with his talent, and I believe he is going to be a star, but rookie receivers rarely deliver. In fact, only eight wideouts have posted 1,000 receiving yards during their rookie season. And dating back to 2008, just eight rookie receivers have finished as top-20 fantasy options. Watkins, meanwhile, isn’t in the best situation, playing in a run-heavy offense with a very suspect quarterback under center. The fit isn’t ideal, seeing as 57 percent of Watkins’ production last year came via the screen, while the Bills attempted a WR screen just 0.7 percent of the time, according to Pro Football Focus.
I absolutely love the kid, and am excited to have him, but patience may be a virtue.
I’d rather have: Terrance Williams, DeAndre Hopkins, Eric Decker, Rueben Randle.