2014 Fantasy Football Buy or Sell: WR Aaron Dobson
The New England Patriots offense was nothing like what fans and fantasy owners were used to seeing. Their 444 total points were the lowest over the last four seasons. Another year of working together and building chemistry will improve the offense. The receiver who will benefit from this will be second-year wide out Aaron Dobson.
Dobson had foot surgery in March and has missed all of the offseason workouts and didn’t begin his training camp until Aug. 11. Despite the lack of practice, Dobson played well in his first game. He caught three passes for 57 yards and a score from backup Jimmy Garoppolo.
The Patriots have a lot of weapons with upside. When healthy, Rob Gronkowski is a top-three tight end. Julian Edelman is a younger version of Wes Welker and can catch 100 passes this season. Recent addition Danny Amendola is good, but he has a hard time staying on the field.
As a result, I believe Dobson will start the season as the Patriots No. 2 receiver, opposite of Edelman.
In his rookie season, Dobson had three games with double-digit points and three games with 10 or more targets. If he can catch eight, nine or 10 passes a game, he will have great value in PPR leagues.
Dobson is currently going undrafted in most ESPN.com leagues with an ADP of 170.0, while Amendola’s ADP is 114.5 (12th round). I would rather have Dobson and his upside over Amendola and his risk of injury.
Dobson is a buy-low candidate who will pay out for owners in 12-14 team leagues.