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Point Guard
Russell Westbrook $25,000
Russ enters the day at 25k on DraftDay, which is as high as it gets. He is obviously the best fantasy producer in the league and will be worth it a lot of times at 25k. He gets a match-up with the 76ers that benefits him a ton as the likes of T.J. McConnell and Sergio Rodriguez have absolutely no chance. They may put TLC on Westy, but he will still easily blow past him or shoot in his face. The game figures to be pretty close and high-scoring as well, which is necessary for him to hit value. Westbrook did suffer a blister last game, but has already said there is no risk of him missing this one. He is essential for the Thunder to be a top 20 team and will need him to stay in that 6 seed. Westbrook stays above 60 fantasy points on a consistent basis and should be there again tonight. With a floor around 60 and a ceiling over 90, Westbrook is a guy I will have a ton of exposure to.
John Wall $18,750
John Wall is definitely expensive, though nowhere near the same level as Russell Westbrook. He’s 7k cheaper on DraftDay and it will definitely be hard to pay the extra funds with Wall sitting here. Dennis Schroder is one of the absolute worst defenders in the league and has allowed nearly 54 FP per game to opposing PG’s. Wall is going to be way too fast and shifty for Schroder, who has trouble moving laterally around on-ball screens. Gortat is one of the best screen guys in the game and should be able to obliterate Schroder on a consistent basis. Wall will then switch onto the likes of Dwight Howard and Ersan Ilyasova, who obviously have no chance. Wall is going to have a very solid game tonight and I absolutely love him in cash games. Westbrook does have a lot more upside and it is a very close call. If enough value arises on the day, I may be willing to play both.
Shooting Guard
Gary Harris $9,700
Wilson Chandler and Gallinari are both questionable to play in this one, so I would definitely expect at least 1 of them to miss. Harris has exceeded 30 fantasy points in 6 of the last 7 games, which is quite phenomenal for a player at his price. This match-up with the Cavs is actually a good one, as they struggle most against SG’s. Harris is a very active player and has taken a great initiative with 2 of the leading scorers on the bench. Harris is a guy I will have a ton of exposure to in both cash games and tournaments. I really don’t see too many paths to failure for a guy like Harris tonight.
Tim Hardaway Jr. $9,900
Kent Bazemore has been ruled out for the next week or so, which opens up a bunch of minutes. Tim Hardaway Jr. saw 33 minutes against the Hornets and even though he only scored 14 fantasy points, the fantasy points are promising. Hardaway is a very variant player and for that reason, he is a guy I only have in tournaments. He has a ridiculous amount of upside in this match-up, as the Wizards play extremely fast and can give it up on the perimeter to good shooters. Bradley Beal is a fine defender, but isn’t anything to write home about. Hardaway will go way under-owned and makes a lot of sense in tourneys. His price has come back down and he doesn’t need to go crazy to hit value. Hardaway has been over 50 fantasy points twice this season and they were in very similar match-ups. While Hardaway is far from safe, he should see 12 shots and 30 minutes which will usually equate to at least 20 fantasy points.
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Small Forward
Will Barton $10,450
Gary Harris is definitely the more consistent of this combo, as noted. You can look at Will Barton’s last 3 games and see exactly who he is. With 53,52, and 14 in each of the last 3, this is a guy who I absolutely adore in tournaments. He brings an insane amount of upside at a very fair price. While he will see some tough defense on occasion, he will also see a great match-up at times, depending on how the Cavs are playing. The Nuggets have done a good job keeing Barton ivolved whilst feeding Jokic and keeping him pleased. Barton does become a must better player if Gallinari and/or Chandler miss. I’m willing to play Barton in cash games if they both are out. They each take a ton of shots and nearly 50% of it has gone to Barton.
Taurean Prince $5,000
This one is pretty cut and dry. With Bazemore and Millsap ruled out, you can expect 30 minutes out of Prince. He is minimum priced on DraftDay and is close to a must play. He may not be the safest option around, but he should be just fine seeing that many minutes. The upside is definitely there if his shot starts falling. Budenholzer has expressed his confidence in Prince and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a huge game one of these times. Prince is a cash and tournament elite option on DraftDay.
Power Forward
Nikola Jokic $15,950
Jokic has flown under the radar recently, even though he has surpassed 50 fantasy points in 2 of his last 3. The Nuggets have held his minutes somewhat tight and I expect those reins to come off tonight. The Cavs are obviously a team you would love to beat and they will have to have Jokic out there if they want any chance. He is an absolute animal and does have the potential to hit 70 fantasy points in 35 minutes. The Cavs have nobody to cover him as Kevin Love is far too horrid of a defender and Thompson is way too slow and not long enough. Jokic is going to obliterate this interior if given the minutes and it will be interesting to see how the game turns out. Jokic is one of my favorite options in both cash games and tournaments.
Ersan Ilyasova $9,150
With Millsap ruled out, Ilyasova is a lock for 28 minutes. While we definitely expected more last game, the Hawks elected to play small for much of the 2nd half. He matches up much better with Markieff Morris, who’s a similar offensive player. While Ilyasova doesn’t control the ball or run the floor, he does see an uptick in production with an uptick in pace. He relies on 3-point shooting for upside, which is a big reason we want him in fast games. He does a great job finding the 3-ball in transition and should be able to do that extremely well against the Wizards, who are a pretty bad defense in general once they get running. A lot of people will likely be off of Ilyasova, which is a mistake. He is still going to produce with Millsap out and I’m willing to have exposure in both cash and tournaments.
Center
Andre Drummond $16,400
Drummond has actually been somewhat consistent as of late, which is very weird to say. He hasn’t shown the classic 60 fantasy point game, but also hasn’t showed us the 15 in a good match-up. He’s been sitting right around 38-45 fantasy points, which is fine in cash games, though you would like a little bit more. The Bulls are likely to be without Robin Lopez tonight. Christiano Felicio also took a nasty hit to the hip and his status is in question. Drummond will be the only big body down low with any skill and should be able to absolutely dominate. He has the ability to hit 20 rebounds without much effort and the points will follow organically. Drummond is a guy I will have exposure to in both cash games and tournaments. He has a floor around 35 and a ceiling over 65.
Steven Adams $12,200
The Thunder ended up getting the starters rest against the Warriors in what turned into a blowout very quickly. Adams will be able see a full load of minutes tonight in a terrific match-up against the 76ers. With Jahlil Okafor questionable, Adams will either see Okafor or Holmes down low. They are both below average defenders that don’t have much of an interior presence. Adams has been seeing over 34 minutes on a consistent basis and at his price, is a near lock for value. Sitting under 13k on DraftDay, Adams only needs about 25-30 to make you happy. He also has plenty of upside here if the game stays close, topping 40 points on multiple occasions this season. You can target Adams in both cash games and tournaments. While he may not have the same upside as Drummond, he gives you confidence at a good price and lets you pay up elsewhere.
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