Jed Lowrie…. Remember Him?
Well the real question isn’t how well do you remember him, but more of how much will his presence help the Sox? He is replacing Dusty at second, and that pushes Bill Hall and Eric Patterson to the bench (with the return of Hermida and Cameron). Bill Hall and Eric Patterson and even Lowrie are all considered “Replacement Players”. Sounds like a good time to introduce you guys to VORP.
VORP and WARP are ways of measuring the best player in terms if position scarcity around the league. VORP (Value Over Replacement Player) and WARP (Wins Above Replacement Player) are the two major ways to measure this. VORP is a measure of how much better a position player or pitcher is than the league average replacement. There is a mass formula for how to calculate this (and it is so huge because it involves finding out what the league average is in the first place), but you’re better off taking my word for it. You want a high VORP and WARP.
WARP is how we will be measuring today. This determines (via a secret formula…. seriously) how many wins you gain by playing that player all season over the average replacement player. So again, just take my word for it.
Anyway, here are the stats as far as WARP go for the Sox possible second basemen while Dusty’s foot is still healing:
Lowrie: 1.3 (in 295PAs roughly half a season. Stretched out for a full year he would be around 2.6)
Hall: 1.2 (through 220 PAs…. around Lowries 2.6)
Patterson: -.5 (career of 422 ABs)
So the sure thing is no Eric Patterson. Now lets go to VORP:
Lowrie: To be determined (he only has 7ABs)
Hall: 5.5 (higher than both MacDonald and Nava+Patterson)
The final verdict? Lefty vs Righty platoon. Both players deserve at bats. It seems that Tito is making the right call be keeping both these guys around to split time. It also looks like he is making the wrong one by playing Patterson at all. More Lowrie, Less Patterson, Same Hall.