MLB World Series: Detroit Tigers Must Overcome Statistics and Team History to Win World Series
The Detroit Tigers head home to Comerica Park to try to comeback from a two games to zero deficit against the San Francisco Giants. The Tigers are playing in their first World Series since 2006. In that year, the Tigers lost in five games to the St. Louis Cardinals. If the Tigers can’t get some offense going, they could be headed for the same outcome.
Of the 52 World Series to see a team go up 2 games to zero, 41 of those teams leading have hung on to win the series. The rather slim margin sees the Tigers having a 11.2% chance of coming back to win the 2012 World Series. To make matters worse, only one team out of the last fifteen trailing 0-2 has triumphed over their opponent. In 1996, the New York Yankees came back from a 0-2 deficit to win the World Series against the Atlanta Braves in six games.
Both previous occasions where the Tigers have trailed 0-2 in the World Series, have seen the team lose to their opponent. In 1907, the Tigers trailed the Chicago Cubs 0-2 in the World Series, after a tie was issued for game one. The Tigers went on to lose the series after the Cubs won the next four games. The following year, the Tigers lost to the Cubs again in five games. The Tigers once again couldn’t overcome a 0-2 deficit. After winning game three, the Tigers lost the series in five games.
One of the biggest positives going forward for the Tigers is the fact that they play three home games in a row now, after the long trip to San Francisco. The question is whether or not home field advantage matters. The Tigers have a 13-17 record while playing at home, through eleven trips to the World Series. These results include games played at Bennett Park (1907, 1908, 1909), Navin Field (1934, 1935), Briggs Stadium (1940, 1945), Tiger Stadium (1968), and Comerica Park (2006). In two postseason games played at the current stadium, the Tigers hold a 1-1 record.
The good news for the Tigers appears to be their home field advantage in the 2012 MLB Playoffs. The Tigers hold a 4-0 record this postseason, when playing at Comerica Park. In fact, the Tigers have outscored their opponents 13-2 at their home ballpark.
Game three proves to be an important one for the Tigers as they look to extend the series. In ten career World Series game threes, the Tigers hold a 4-5 record. The Tigers do however hold a 2-1 record in game threes at home.
Detroit has been World Series champions on four occasions. The Tigers won the championship in 1935, 1945, 1968, and 1984. If the Tigers are to win the 2012 World Series, they will need to win game three Saturday night. To win the series, the Tigers need offense, pitching, and a little bit of luck to overcome such big odds and team history. The Tigers hold a 27-35-1 overall record in the World Series. With four straight wins, the Tigers can bump that record up to 31-35-1 and bring home their fifth World Series championship.
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