Before I get this started, let me just say that I am not taking anything away from what David Price has done in his career. I am simply stating that in 2013, the most overrated player on the Tampa Bay Rays‘ roster is Price, and the statistics support my opinion.
Price has a career 62-35 win-loss record accompanied by a very nice 3.29 ERA. In 2013, Price is 1-4 with a 5.24 ERA. I am of the opinion that win-loss record for pitchers is virtually meaningless. Quite frankly, with all the new advanced statistics available to us, I would prefer to see the W-L stat dropped completely.
While Price’s simple statistics (ERA, W-L) show that Price is vastly overrated; his advanced statistics suggest that Price has been very unlucky in 2013. I wasn’t completely convinced that I should write this about Price, just because he has the unlucky factor against him, but the Rays don’t have a lot of “big-name” players to consider overrated. His 3.50 xFIP suggests that his defense is hurting Price a lot more than it is helping him. His opponents’ .345 BABIP is much higher than it has ever been in his career, with his previous high being .285. However, Price is also giving up more home runs than he has in the past, with a 1.31 HR/9, thanks in large part to a career high 15.1 HR/FB percentage.
While Price appears to be the most overrated player on the Rays roster now, in the middle of June, the advanced numbers would suggest that we won’t be thinking the same thing in August and September. His bad luck has to come to an end at some point. Hopefully.