If someone were to hand the American League Cy-Young award to Detroit Tigers’ ace Max Scherzer today, there would be very few reasons to argue the action. Scherzer has been great all year and his win – loss record is good enough to sway even someone who usually doesn’t pay attention to that stat. However, in the game Monday against Chris Sale, I believe the loss column will grow from 2 to 3 for Scherzer as Sale and the Chicago White Sox will and him his next loss.
There are a couple of reasons beyond the simple fact that Sale is a really good pitcher too and has had a very good second half of the season. For one thing Scherzer is actually looking slightly human of late. He gave up two runs in a loss his last time out but the time before that he gave up five runs in a lucky no-decision thanks to his offense. Right now the Tigers are not playing that well so if Scherzer were to give up three runs or more, it would probably be enough for Sale to pull what some might call an upset.
Sale, for his part is more comfortable pitching in the White Sox’ home ballpark or seems to be based on his ERA being a full run lower at home. Also his WHIP stat is below one at home. It can go either way of course but I believe my money would be on Sale in a game that will be close for a while before the Sox put a few crooked runs up against the bullpen of the Tigers. We’ll see what happens but I believe Scherzer’s loss column will have a three in it by night’s end.