The way it looks right now, the first four spots in the 2014 Miami Marlins pitching rotation belongs to Jose Fernandez, Jacob Turner, Nathan Eovaldi and Henderson Alvarez. The only way that changes is if the Marlins go after a starter during the offseason, and that is unlikely to happen because of the way the front office is run these days.
There will definitely be a competition for the fifth spot because it does not seem that Tom Koehler will be a part of the rotation since Koehler’s ERA was an inflated 4.45 this season and his K/9 was 5.8. He did not prove he can win ball games. In most of the games that he lost, he allowed three or more runs, which put Miami out of contention for a comeback.
As a starter, he cannot continue to do that and now his starting job will be in jeopardy.
The first person that will have a chance at that starting job will be Samuel Dyson. However, after being called up by the Marlins just prior to September, he did not get a win in the five games he pitched in, including one start. His ERA is at 9.00 after allowing 11 earned runs in 11 innings pitched — at least one run an inning.
For someone that has a chance to become a starter, those are not good numbers to make a good impression on the front office with. Dyson will get a few more opportunities to pitch before season’s end, but has to lower that ERA and pitch well in spring training to get a look as a fifth starter.