5 Texas Rangers Stats That Will Win Them the World Series
5 Texas Rangers Stats that will win them the World Series
The Texas Rangers can't look ahead as they are desperately trying to make it into the playoffs as one of two Wild Card teams. While it may be a bit of a long shot at this point, if they find a way to get in, there are a few statistics which should be encouraging to fans.
It’s important to remember that no statistic can truly predict any kind of outcome. They are merely a tool to help educate the predictor to avoid looking like a fool. For example, given his 52 home runs this year, it would hardly be going out on a limb to predict that Baltimore Orioles' breakout first baseman Chris Davis will hit another home run before the season ends. That doesn’t mean that it will necessarily happen; it’s just a reasonable educated guess.
The thing about any statistic is that there are always aberrations, as seen by Texas’ last two deep playoff runs, where they couldn’t capitalize in two World Series trips. Some players would tend to disappear in the playoffs, while others would step up with little regard to their regular season averages and statistics.
It may take a small miracle for Texas to actually clinch a playoff spot, so they’ll need to stay focused on the task at hand, which is just winning every game until the season ends. As fans though, we are certainly permitted to look ahead and think about what could be and what will be. With that in mind, this is a list of five stats that could have a major impact on the Rangers’ success in the postseason, should they manage to make it that far.
5. Steals in the second half
82 is the number of stolen bases the Rangers have since the All-Star break, giving them the most in MLB over that time span. Only the Kansas City Royals have more steals than the Rangers for the season.
To put that stat in perspective, 82 is more steals than over half of the teams in the majors have for the entire season. Since Nelson Cruz was suspended, the Rangers have been much more aggressive as a team at running the basepaths.
Once the playoffs start, the style of baseball changes. Every run matters more, and usually the team that can manufacture runs better is the team that comes out victorious. With runners like Elvis Andrus(41), Alex Rios(40) and Rookie of the Year candidate Leonys Martin(34), it is a bit easier to give the green light when they reach base.
4. Games Back
The Rangers are currently one game behind the Cleveland Indians for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Why will this help the Rangers in the playoffs?
If the Rangers can leapfrog the Indians and end up in the playoffs, it means that they have gotten on track and will be hot going into the playoffs. Oftentimes, the scrappy teams that had to claw their way into the playoffs at the end of the year have more success than teams that haven't had anything to play for in weeks, like the Boston Red Sox.
3. Mitch Moreland's Playoff BA
.348 was Mitch Moreland's batting average in the 2010 playoffs. Moreland has been a real weakness for the Rangers this year, hitting just .232. Even as a rookie in 2010, Moreland only hit .255, so if he can turn it on in the playoffs this year like he did then, he could really turn a weakness into a strength in a hurry.
41 is the number of saves closer Joe Nathan has this year for the Rangers. He has had 44 save opportunities, giving him just three blown saves for the year. Among closers with more than 25 opportunities, only Casey Janssen from the Toronto Blue Jays has less with two blown saves in 36 tries.
In the postseason, having a reliable closer can mean the difference between going home and winning it all. The Rangers have had some difficulty closing out games in the World Series, and Nathan doesn't always make it the prettiest, but having one of the most consistent closers in the majors will surely help.
1. Win-loss (August)
20-7 was the Rangers' record in the month of August, after going 25-29 the previous two months and losing Nelson Cruz at the beginning of the month. This shows two main points: the Rangers are capable of winning at a high rate, and that they are capable of overcoming adversity. Despite an awful September, the Rangers are still in the race for the playoffs, so they'll need to bounce back to that August form. If they do, there might be no stopping them.