Philadelphia Phillies 2014 Prediction: Jimmy Rollins
Seven years removed from his MVP season, Jimmy Rollins hopes to regain his offensive form. This is the first spring training in a long time where Rollins is not the Philadelphia Phillies‘ leadoff batter, and it will be interesting to see how his approach might change at the plate.
So far this spring he has been patient, drawing three walks and a .500 on base percentage; he hasn’t walked more than seven times during the spring since 2007 when he drew 13. Although it is a relatively small sample size, it is good to see he is looking for quality pitches to hit.
Since Rollins won MVP back in 2007, he has accumulated 85 home runs, 347 RBI, 177 stolen bases, a .257 batting average and .322 on base percentage over six seasons. That’s an average of 14 home runs, 58 RBIs and 30 stolen bases.
Last season he played in 160 games and set career lows in home runs (6), RBIs (39) and slugging percentage (.348). If you exclude 2010 when he played in just 88 games due to injury then he would have also set career lows in hits (151), triples (2) and runs (65).
The Phillies lacked consistency as a whole last year, and they did not have much to play for during the second half of the season. This season should be a different story as they start fresh with a relatively healthy core and a new excitement to show up to the ballpark every day.
Best case prediction: Rollins will hit 25 home runs, accumulate 65 RBIs, score 94 runs, bat .276 and have a .340 on base percentage.
Worst case prediction: Rollins will hit six home runs, accumulate 30 RBIs, score 60 runs, bat .235 and have a .298 on base percentage.
Realistic prediction: Rollins will hit 18 home runs, accumulate 57 RBIs, score 84 runs, bat .264 and have a .331 on base percentage.
As long as Rollins and the rest of the Phillies can stay healthy, he should see his numbers increase from the past two seasons. It’s hard to say he’ll get back to MVP form at 35-years old, but it’s not crazy to think he could still put together a solid season. All things considered, expect to see his numbers near the realistic prediction.