5 Reasons Why Milwaukee Brewers Will Miss The Playoffs

5 Reasons Why Milwaukee Brewers Will Miss The Playoffs

Ryan Braun Milwaukee Brewers
Chalres LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers have enough talent to make noise in the NL in 2014, but they also have some big what-ifs that could hold them back. As I wrote about earlier this year, the Brewers have the largest gap in MLB between their potential peak and valley. If Milwaukee falls short of the postseason, these five things will be the reason.

5. Poor Baserunning

Carlos Gomez Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

5. Poor Baserunning

Carlos Gomez Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

Teams can negate their own power by making foolish decisions on the basepaths, costing the club outs and big innings. Under Ron Roenicke, the Brewers have made the most outs on the bases in the NL. Continuing this trend will limit the impact of their home runs and put added pressure on the pitchers.

4. Unproven Bullpen

Jim Henderson Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

4. Unproven Bullpen

Jim Henderson Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

Jim Henderson enters as the full-time closer for the first time. Brandon Kintzler will be relied upon in the seventh and eighth frames in high-leverage spots. Both guys have had success in small samples, though they haven't had a chance to prove it long-term. K-Rod is there to help, but wins will hinge on the other two.

3. More Injuries

Aramis Ramirez Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

3. More Injuries

Aramis Ramirez Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

The Brewers lost a ton of playing time to injuries last season and the risk exists in 2014 as well. Both in the rotation and in the lineup, a number of key players have been known to get banged up. The five biggest concerns, whether due to age or history, are Aramis Ramirez, Ryan Braun, Matt Garza, Kyle Lohse and Marco Estrada.

2. Infield Defense

Rickie Weeks Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

2. Infield Defense

Rickie Weeks Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

Rickie Weeks is awful at second base and Scooter Gennett would only be average at best. Ramirez's range is extremely limited and his throws from third occasionally sail. Then there's first base where Lyle Overbay is solid, but shouldn't be the starter. Mark Reynolds is a below-average fielder, but that's leaps and bounds better than Juan Francisco. Either way, three-fourths of the infield are less-than-ideal defenders, which is an issue.

1. Wily Peralta and Marco Estrada

Wily Peralta Milwaukee Brewers
Getty Images

1. Wily Peralta and Marco Estrada

Wily Peralta
Getty Images

The Brewers' strength in the rotation lies in their depth from one through five. That means Peralta must continue to develop and cash in on his phenomenal stuff. Estrada has been great in stretches, too, but he also gets knocked around thanks to the long ball. They haven't turned that corner yet, and if they struggle to progress, the top three can't carry the rest of the club to the playoffs.

Around the Web

  • Scott

    Yup. Pretty much nailed it. Though you are wrong in my opinion on the 1st one as you’re simply using a stat without any context to it. The Brewers under RR are also among the best in going 1st to 3rd, scoring from 2nd, and have a lot of guys who steal bases and are graded as well above average base runners like Gomez, Segura and Braun who account for a LOT of those outs on the bases.

    But can’t argue with the others.

    On the BP, you’re right, but I really like the look of it. I just hope the team doesn’t overthink shit.
    Will Smith looks like he could be a late inning reliever at this point.
    K-Rod is a veteran and his slider and change are still plus pitches, but his velocity is average.
    Henderson has some Axford/Turnbow type issues that could creep in.

    But I really like the depth they have here, and if need be they could always go with guys like Jimmy Nelson, Thornburg, Smith, and others out of their pen.