MLB

5 Best MLB Props In 2014

MLB Props

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Prior to every MLB season, something I always make sure to do is check out the props that are offered in Vegas. The experts in Vegas are some of the very best at projecting outcomes in sports. Looking at props is a great way to see what a players expected to do in the upcoming season. As good as Vegas is though, when they create more than 100 props, they're bound to be off on some of them, and here five that I absolutely love.

5. Albert Pujols UNDER .290 Batting Average in Regular Season

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5. Albert Pujols UNDER .290 Batting Average in Regular Season

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Albert Pujols has hit below .290 for two consecutive years now, and in what was a disastrous 2013, he hit a measly .258. His strikeout percentages, chase percentages (pitches swung at outside the strike zone), and swinging strike rates in 2012 and 2013 were the highest they've been since his rookie season. I have Pujols projected to hit .264 this season.

4. Miguel Cabrera OVER .325 Batting Average in Regular Season

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4. Miguel Cabrera OVER .325 Batting Average in Regular Season

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Miguel Cabrera has had a batting average higher than .325 for four consecutive seasons, he hit .348 last season, and he has hit better than .344 in two of the last three seasons.

3. Paul Goldschmidt OVER 30.5 Home Runs

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3. Paul Goldschmidt OVER 30.5 Home Runs

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Paul Goldschmidt hit 36 home runs in a breakout 2013 season at age 25, and to put things simply, he hits the ball really hard. Goldschmidt has finished in the top 20 in MLB in batted ball distance for two consecutive years (he was 2nd in 2013); in all three of his big league seasons, he has finished with both an ISO and HR/FB rate way above league average, and Chase field definitely doesn't prohibit right-handed power.

2. Brandon Phillips UNDER 84.5 RBI

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2. Brandon Phillips UNDER 84.5 RBI

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Brandon Phillips had 101 RBI last season hitting cleanup for the Reds, behind on base machine Joey Votto. This season, Phillips is slated to hit second in the Reds lineup. There have been only six instances in the last three seasons where a national league team drove in at least 80 RBI out of their No. 2 spot. I have Phillips projected to knock in 70 runs.

1. Carlos Gomez 50:1 To Win NL MVP

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1. Carlos Gomez 50:1 To Win NL MVP

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First off, I'm intrigued by anything at 50/1 odds. I'm even more interested because Carlos Gomez was second in the NL with a 7.6 WAR (according to fangraphs) in 2013. Gomez is very capable of repeating (or even improving upon) his performance from last year, and I believe the Milwaukee Brewers should be a much better team as a whole in 2014 (Gomez finished the highest among any player on a non-playoff team in NL MVP voting last season).