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MLB Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds Rumors: Predicting Likelihood Of Each Player Being Traded

Likelihood Of Each Cincinnati Reds Player Being Traded

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers
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With the MLB trade deadline just over a month away, many different names are being rumored to being on the market. For the Cincinnati Reds, let's take a look what the likelihood of each individual player being traded.

14. Zack Cozart - 1% Chance

Zack Cozart
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14. Zack Cozart - 1% Chance

Zack Cozart
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Hitting just .227 on the season with two home runs and 16 runs batted in, the Reds would be hard-pressed to find an interested suitor for their shortstop. With the shortstop position being one that the Reds could look at improving, Cozart could end up being a stopgap trade chip -- like Royce Clayton in the Reds-Nationals deal that included Felipe Lopez and Austin Kearns.

13. Todd Frazier - 1% Chance

Todd Frazier
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13. Todd Frazier - 1% Chance

Todd Frazier
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The undisputed team leader on and off the field, Todd Frazier is one of the few "untouchables" currently on the Cincinnati Reds' roster. With that being said, I left this at a one percent chance because there is always that slim chance that something crazy could happen. However, don't look for the Reds to even consider a trade involving their best offensive contributor at the moment.

12. Ryan Ludwick - 15% Chance

Ryan Ludwick
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12. Ryan Ludwick - 15% Chance

Ryan Ludwick
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With his salary and limited production, the market for Ryan Ludwick is slim to none. The only way the Cincinnati Reds trade him this year is as a "throw-in" player or salary dump in addition to the trade of other players.

11. Johnny Cueto - 45% Chance

Johnny Cueto
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11. Johnny Cueto - 45% Chance

Johnny Cueto
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With a sparkingly 1.85 ERA and a stellar start to the season, Johnny Cueto will be a hot commodity on the market if the Reds choose to listen to offers. With a team option for "just" $ 10 million in 2015, Cueto would be an affordable ace -- the type of pitcher who draws much interest on the market but also commands a wealthy return. However, the Reds are also very high on Cueto (rightfully so) and may desire to retain his services long-term.

10. Joey Votto - 0% Chance

Joey Votto
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10. Joey Votto - 0% Chance

Joey Votto
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It just isn't happening. The Reds made a huge deal about signing Joey Votto to such a lucrative contract, and they aren't about to give up on that yet. Additionally, Votto has been injury plagued since signing the contract -- a fact that will scare off many potential suitors. For the Reds, if any form of a rebuilding is on the horizon (as it might need to be), building around players such as Votto is beneficial to the team's long-term success.

9. Homer Bailey - 5% Chance

Homer Bailey
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9. Homer Bailey - 5% Chance

Homer Bailey
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After signing his massive extension in the offseason, the start to 2014 has been anything but memorable for Homer Bailey. Like Votto, the Reds will not give up on such a contract (or admit their mistake) with so many years left. Additionally, not many teams will be lining up to acquire a $ 100 million pitcher with an ERA near 5.00.

8. Devin Mesoraco - 0% Chance

Devin Mesoraco
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8. Devin Mesoraco - 0% Chance

Devin Mesoraco
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Despite cooling off as of late from his scorching start to the season, the fact remains that Devin Mesoraco is the present and the future for the Cincinnati Reds behind the plate. Now that the team has seen what exactly Mesoraco can provide them with, they will not let him go. Look at how long it was between Johnny Bench and the Reds' next great catcher. Young talent behind the plate is hard to come by, and the Reds will not soon forget that.

7. Brandon Phillips - 15% Chance

Brandon Phillips
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7. Brandon Phillips - 15% Chance

Brandon Phillips
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Despite trying everything they could in the offseason, the Cincinnati Reds were unable to trade All-Star Brandon Phillips. With a hefty contract, the suitors for Phillips will be limited to big market teams. Linked to teams in the offseason such as the New York Yankees, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and the Atlanta Braves, look for the same teams to resurface as July 31 approaches. However, don't expect a deal to be made.

6. Billy Hamilton - 2% Chance

Billy Hamilton
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6. Billy Hamilton - 2% Chance

Billy Hamilton
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For the past few years, Billy Hamilton was the savior on the horizon for the Reds' leadoff woes. And while his average and OBP might not quite be exactly comparable to Shin-Soo Choo, Hamilton has been quite impressive for the Reds this season in many different ways. Hamilton represents the type of baseball manager Bryan Price seems to prefer, and the Reds will continue to build around their young star.

5. Aroldis Chapman - 70% Chance

Aroldis Chapman
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5. Aroldis Chapman - 70% Chance

Aroldis Chapman
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Arguably the most likely to be traded this season, a trade of Aroldis Chapman could benefit the Cincinnati Reds in the short term as well as the long term. With the closer's contract expiring in the upcoming years, the likelihood of him re-signing is slim. For the Reds, it would behoove them to seek a trade partner in need of a closer (aka Oakland) that could assist them in replenishing a depleted farm system.

4. Alfredo Simon - 80% Chance

Alfredo Simon
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4. Alfredo Simon - 80% Chance

Alfredo Simon
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This is a tough one; on one hand Simon is arguably one of the most important arms on the team, yet he also arguably one of the most expendable. Simon has shown the ability to succeed as a reliever and as a starter. The Reds could profit off of his success in 2014 by trading him away for prospects, or the Reds could sign Simon to an extension and insert him into a rotation (if they lose a starter to trades).

3. Jay Bruce - 10% Chance

Jay Bruce
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3. Jay Bruce - 10% Chance

Jay Bruce
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The chances of Bruce being traded are unlikely for many reasons: His team friendly contract, his passion to stay in Cincinnati, injuries and his lackluster 2014 performance being chief among them. When healthy, Bruce is a perennial All-Star with the capabilities of carrying the Reds. Walt Jocketty and the Reds will look to reload and build around players such as Bruce in 2015.

2. Mat Latos - 30% Chance

Mat Latos
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2. Mat Latos - 30% Chance

Mat Latos
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A lot depends on his performances between now and July 31. If healthy, Latos will command a large return in a trade -- much more than the Reds sent to the Padres originally. With Latos hitting the market in a few years, the Reds must decide if they would rather keep him or Cueto (or who is most likely to agree to a contract). With Latos looking like the odd man out, he could easily be a trade candidate with the Reds looking to improve elsewhere.

1. Mike Leake - 55% Chance

Mike Leake
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1. Mike Leake - 55% Chance

Mike Leake
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Prior to his recent struggles, Mike Leake was sitting at an 85 percent chance of being traded by the deadline. Young, affordable and successful, Leake was the trading chip that is attractive to teams in contention and also could bring the Reds a hefty return. However, recent struggles have lowered Leake's market value and forced the Reds' hand in likely keeping him with the team.

Grant Doepel is a Cincinnati Reds writer for RantSports.com. Follow him on Twitter @GrantDoepel, like him on Facebook and add him to your network on Google.