It just seems like a matter of time until UFC champion Ronda Rousey beats up Alexis Davis, and that’s probably exactly what’s going to happen.
Whether it’s by first-round armbar, a violent TKO finish, or a grueling decision victory, all odds appear to be heavily in favor of “Rowdy” retaining her title despite the fact that Davis is far more seasoned as an MMA veteran. But that doesn’t tell the whole story. There’s still a chance — however small it may be — that Davis pulls off the upset and becomes the second woman in history to win a UFC title.
As dominant as Rousey’s been, it wouldn’t even be the biggest upset of the past year, either.
That honor belongs to two other American talents in current UFC middleweight champion Chris Weidman and newly-crowned 135-pound titlist T.J. Dillashaw. Odds be damned, they defeated two men that hadn’t suffered a single loss in over 15 years of combined time. With their records stacked, Anderson Silva and Renan Barao put together a remarkable 48-fight streak. If men like them aren’t invincible within the UFC, no one is — and that includes Rousey. Right now, the only questions are how long she can stay ahead of her competition and whether or not she retires before they catch up to her.
Make no mistake, the longer Rousey fights, the greater the risk becomes that she’ll lose one day.
Davis presents a series of unique abilities on her own, but we also don’t really know how Rousey reacts to a variety of dangerous situations. Can she survive an entire round of high-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu grappling offense? How well does Rousey work inside someone else’s guard during a fight? Can she withstand five rounds of striking? What if her armbar is simply ineffective against Davis?
And then there are the unknowns like sudden injuries, facial cuts, and freak accidents.
Each of those instances is capable of ending a fight in a second, and they’re really the only things a fighter can’t prepare for in training. Even Jon Jones nearly lost his own UFC title to Chael Sonnen, all because of a broken toe that went unnoticed by ring officials. As long as those things sit in the realm of possibility for Rousey, her victory at UFC 175 isn’t a lock. Realistically, no win is ever assured. But fans and pundits saying that Davis has that no chance at UFC 175 are downplaying how quickly things can change inside the Octagon.