The 2013-2014 season is a crucial one for third-year Sacramento Kings guard Jimmer Fredette. After being highly-touted for his shooting ability coming out of college and being drafted 10th overall in the 2011 NBA draft (ahead of Klay Thompson, Kawhi Leonard and Kenneth Faried), Fredette has failed to produce much of anything so far at the NBA level.
Over his first two seasons, Fredette has averaged a pedestrian 7.4 ppg on 40 percent shooting and 38 percent from 3-point land. This season, Fredette needs to prove his worth as an NBA player, or he could find himself out of the league in a few years.
Unfortunately for Fredette, Sacramento is probably not the best place for him to turn his career around. Aside from being notoriously bad at developing their players, the Kings have a loaded backcourt with Grevis Vasquez and Isaiah Thomas at point guard, and Marcus Thornton and Ben McLemore at shooting guard.
So there really is no place for Fredette in Sacramento. If he remains with the Kings, he will likely be buried on the bench for the majority of the season.
That would be the worst-case scenario for Fredette. The best scenario would be for Fredette to move to the right situation where he has more opportunity and then make the most of it. I think Fredette’s ceiling comp is J.J. Redick, a solid defender and dead-eye shooter. But for Fredette to reach his ceiling, he will need to improve both defensively and as a spot-up shooter.
Unfortunately, what seems more likely at this point is that Fredette never establishes himself in the league. I do believe Fredette has talent and given the right situation, he could become a valuable rotation player, but a lot of things have to go right for this to happen. It would be unfortunate for a player who dazzled us in his senior year in college, but the reality is that it’s tough to make it in today’s NBA.
If Jimmer Fredette is going to turn things around, this will be the year he starts.