Currently sitting on the bubble, the Virginia Cavaliers have no room for error in the final stretch of the season. After two straight tough losses to Miami (FL) and North Carolina, Virginia needed to beat Georgia Tech at home in order to keep their tournament hopes alive.
With a blow-out victory over Georgia Tech, Virginia is now 19-8 on the year and 9-5 in ACC play. With a 19-8 record and playing in a power conference in the ACC, you would think that would be enough to get the Cavaliers into the big dance, but unfortunately, that is not the case for the Wahoos.
A lack of a a resume building win, to go along with a poor strength of schedule and an average RPI, the Cavaliers are still left with a lot of work to do in their final four games.
Virginia’s quality wins have all come in conference as they have beat North Carolina, North Carolina State, and Maryland. Not one of those wins will jump off the page at you, but they are wins against the better bunch of the field. A tough loss by 4 points on the road at Miami was a resume building loss as the selection committee was able to see that this team can play with the big boys.
On top of their weak strength of schedule, Virginia has a lot of bad losses. They have lost to George Mason, Old Dominion, Delaware, Wake Forest, and Clemson. Those are all against weak opponents and are going to hurt Virginia’s chance to get into the tournament.
Their next game gives them a chance to earn the bid they want. No. 3 Duke is coming to town in a game Virginia needs to win badly. It is a must win game as a loss will completely knock them out of any bubble discussions.
Virginia has surprised people with their play this year and still have a shot to be dancing come March.