Bubble Watch: Colorado Needs a Positive Finish to Regular Season to Secure Their Spot
Record: 19-9 (9-7) RPI: 27 SOS: 21
Tad Boyle has learned his lesson.
After a poor RPI and weak strength of schedule resulted in a snub of Colorado from the NCAA Tournament selection committee in 2011 Boyle has made it a point to schedule better, while also performing better in those bigger games. Just looking at their numbers this season, as well as their overall performance in 2013, it’s safe to say that Colorado has built a good enough resume up to this point to earn an at-large bid. Most “bracketology” predictions already have Colorado within the 9-11 seed range but they can still move up to a better seed with a positive finish to the season.
If you look at their quality wins this season (Arizona, Oregon, Cal and Colorado State) you have to be impressed with their body of work. Their Charleston Classic championship earlier in the season, wins over Dayton, Baylor and Murray State, looks better then than it does now but it should be noted. For the most part they don’t have many bad losses (at Wyoming, at Utah and at Washington) but their road losses have been a bit of a concern and it’s something that has hindered their national perception.
With that said, Colorado can firmly come off the bubble and solidify a place within the field of 68 if they get the job done this weekend against the two Oregon schools.
The Oregon matchup is the more important game of the two, at least in terms of a resume builder, and if the Buffs can come up with a sweep of Oregon it will be a huge boost to their chances of securing an at-large bid. Furthermore, a win over the Ducks, who are currently ranked No. 19 in the latest AP poll, would push Colorado’s record against ranked teams to 4-2 and it would mark their first winning record against ranked teams since the 1961-62 season.
At this point it would be safe to assume that Boyle and the Buffs are safely in the field barring a major collapse this weekend and a poor showing in next week’s Pac 12 tournament. But we have said that once before, ahem 2011, so Colorado just needs to have a solid showing this weekend and they should be fine come Selection Sunday.
David LaRose is a College Basketball writer for Rant Sports covering the Pac 12 and the University of Colorado. He’s also a member of the USBWA. You can follow him on Twitter or check out his Facebook page.