The Oklahoma Sooners and Iowa State Cyclones will go head-to-head in the Big 12 tournament. The winner of that game will be granted an at-large bid in the NCAA tournament, so that is a game that Oklahoma has to have.
Just a week ago both of those teams were considered in the tournament field, but crazy things tend to happen leading up to the NCAA tournament. All that it takes is one mid-major to win a conference tournament that they had no business winning and then a bubble gets busted because the other mid-major in that conference that was supposed to win was a lock to dance.
Oklahoma split the season series against Iowa State this year, but it did just beat the Cyclones in the beginning of March. The Sooners are coming off of a bad loss against TCU, so they really need to beat the Cyclones to ensure a tournament bid. If they lose, who knows what their destiny will be on Selection Sunday. My guess is the NIT.
Assuming that Oklahoma does win this game, they will likely take on the Kansas Jayhawks, who the Sooners have beaten this year.
With an emergence of Baylor in the tournament, the Bears could easily steal a bid from either Iowa State or Oklahoma with a deep run. Instead of just worrying about all of the logistics and whether if Oklahoma did enough to make the big dance, it just needs to take care of business in the conference tournament.