Colorado Junior Andre Roberson Declaring for 2013 NBA Draft Has More Risk Than Reward

Jim Cowsert- USA TODAY Sports

When it comes to college basketball players declaring early for the NBA Draft there is plenty of misinformation out there that can ultimately effect that players decision. For Colorado junior Andre Roberson, the decision that he has to make by April 28, whether or not to forgo his senior season in Boulder and enter the draft, will come down to weighing the risk with the reward.

The risk for Andre is leaving earlier than he should and possibly risk being drafted really low in the second round, maybe not being drafted all together, and having to develop his game elsewhere besides doing it on an NBA bench. Receiving bad information on potential draft stock is always a risk but it’s just something that comes with the territory.

“There’s a lot of moving parts and a lot of information, a lot of misinformation, that gets in the wrong hands and that makes my job a lot harder” Colorado head coach Tad Boyle remarked at his season ending press conference on Thursday. “Andre will make his decision when he makes his decision. We want what’s best for him but if he leaves early I want him to be in the NBA getting paid. If he leaves early, and he’s not in the NBA, not getting paid, it’s a disappointing decision on his end and on our end.”

Boyle stated that Roberson is getting other information contrary to what has already been out there on NBA mock drafts and other draft insights, most of which say Roberson is a late second round pick at best. Obviously Roberson must be hearing that he has the possibility of being a late first round selection, most likely from agents just trying to sign a guy, or else he would have seemingly made up his mind already. However, in Roberson’s case, the risk far outweighs the reward.

“Really what it comes down to (Roberson’s decision) is risk and reward,” Boyle said Thursday. “I look at where Alec Burks was two years ago, there was very little risk that he wasn’t going to be a first round pick. For Andre, it’s almost just the opposite. The reward is iffy, the risk is pretty drastic.”

It’s apparent that Roberson still needs some time to develop before he becomes a top-tier NBA prospect. His perimeter shooting needs to improve because his position at the next level, likely a three guard/forward, will require a more consistent shot. He’s not big enough to play in the post, being as lanky as he is, so it mostly boils down to how much he can improve on his offensive game.

Boyle laid out all of Roberson’s options in their post season meeting and he didn’t mince words when it came to where he could be playing next season.

“I told him, Andre you’re going to develop next year as a basketball player, the question is where do you want to develop? Do you want to develop in college? Do you want to develop in the D-League, overseas, on an NBA bench? That’s a decision he will have to make. That’s a personal choice that I can’t make for him.”

All of the speculation means nothing because it will eventually come down to what Roberson wants for himself and for his family. Buff nation would certainly like to have him come back, Boyle would love to have him return for his senior season but if he does leave early Colorado will still be in a great position to contend next season.

“Andre knows we are going to have a good team next year. Obviously we are a better team with him than without him but it’s not going to be a make or break decision for Colorado basketball.”

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David LaRose is a College Basketball writer for Rant Sports covering the Pac 12 and the University of Colorado. He’s also a member of the USBWA. You can follow him on Twitter or check out his Facebook page.

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