Every Top 25 Team’s Odds of Earning a Number One Seed
Every Top 25 Teams' Odds of Earning a No. 1 Seed
The No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament is a blessing to most teams and a curse to some. Most teams play for the No. 1 seed to ensure that they won't have to travel far in the first weekend of the tournament and get a favorable draw. For others, the pressure of being a No. 1 seed is too much and being placed in a bad draw can lead to potential upsets.
With the regular season wrapping up this weekend, each team in the Top 25 is positioning themselves for the best opportunity possible to earn a No. 1 seed. For some teams in the Top 25, their chances are slim to none as some of these teams have hurt themselves too much in the regular season. For teams in the top 15, they are in a great position to move their way up to the top with solid performances in their respective conference tournaments.
While the conference tournaments are more focused on the bubble teams and their quests to earn their place in the NCAA Tournament, the top teams in college basketball also use the tournaments to prove to the selection committee that they deserve the best possible seed.
Strong performances in the conference tournaments will validate their place at the top, while poor showings can dip these teams into places in the bracket where they don't want to be. This season, like most in recent memory, has very few teams with legitimate cases for a No. 1 seed.
Here's how each of the Top 25 teams in this week's AP Poll stand in the race for the No. 1 seeds.
The Cincinnati Bearcats have a slim chance to earn a No. 1 seed. The Bearcats would have to win the American Athletic Conference Tournament and hope that all the other power conferences have Cinderella teams with their respective tournaments.
The Creighton Blue Jays have a fair chance to earn a No. 1 seed. The Blue Jays would have to win the Big East Tournament and hope that Cinderella teams win the ACC, Big 10 and Big-12 Tournaments.
The Michigan Wolverines have a decent chance to earn a No. 1 seed. The Wolverines would have to win the Big 10 Tournament and hope the ACC and Big 12 Tournaments are won by Cinderella teams.
The Louisville Cardinals have a fair shot at earning a No. 1 seed. Much like Cincinnati, the Cardinals would have to win the American Athletic Tournament and hope the ACC, Big 10 and Big 12 Tournaments are won by Cinderella teams.
10. San Diego State
The San Diego State Aztecs, although ranked in the Top-10, have no chance to earn a No. 1 seed.
The Wisconsin Badgers have a great opportunity to earn the fourth and final No. 1 seed. The Badgers would have to win the Big 10 Tournament and hope a Cinderella team wins the ACC and Big 12 Tournaments for the Badgers to claim the final No. 1 seed.
The Syracuse Orange have a great chance to claim a No. 1 seed. If the Orange win the ACC Tournament, they will lock themselves comfortably into the fourth and final No. 1 seed.
The Villanova Wildcats have a slim chance to earn a No. 1 seed, but I emphasize slim. The Wildcats would have to beat Creighton in the Big East Tournament final and hope the ACC, Big 10 and Big 12 champions are Cinderella teams.
The Virginia Cavaliers would clinch at worst the fourth No. 1 seed by winning the ACC Tournament Championship.
For the Duke Blue Devils, they will clinch at worst the fourth No. 1 seed by winning the ACC Tournament.
The Arizona Wildcats have already clinched a No. 1 seed and are competing for the top overall seed.
2. Wichita State
The Wichita State Shockers have clinched a No. 1 seed right now, and only a one-and-done performance in the Missouri Valley tournament would knock the Shockers out of this discussion.