NCAA Basketball March Madness

2014 NCAA Tournament: Breakdown Of Elite Eight Based on the Pomeroy Ratings Index

Breakdown of Elite Eight Based on the Pomeroy Ratings Index

Pomeroy Ratings Index
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The Pomeroy ratings index, which was created by Ken Pomeroy, is a measurement of a team’s offensive and defensive efficiency based on points scored and points allowed per possession. The following breakdown shows which Elite Eight teams have the best chance of winning the tournament based on the Pomeroy measurements.

Defining the Breakdown

Defining
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Defining the Breakdown

Defining
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According to KenPom, the breakdown is in terms of adjusted offensive efficiency (AdjO) and adjusted defensive efficiency (AdjD). Pomeroy defines them as an estimate of the offensive efficiency (points scored per 100 possessions) and defensive efficiency (points allowed per 100 possessions) a team would have against the average D-I offense/defense.

Simplifying the Breakdown

Simplifying
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Simplifying the Breakdown

Simplifying
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The average number of possessions per team in a college basketball game is 67. The adjusted offensive efficiency and adjusted defensive efficiency shows where each team stands in comparison to the other. It’s a critical tool that is used by several coaches to determine how they can defeat their opponent on a statistical scale.

Taking It A Step Further

Conclusion
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Taking It A Step Further

Conclusion
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The 2014 NCAA men’s basketball tournament has shown us that seasonal statistics don’t mean much in terms of March Madness success. For instance, Mercer, which ranks 86th in the Pomeroy rankings, upset No. 12 ranked Duke. However, the Pomeroy rankings do give us an idea of what to expect in the four Elite Eight contests this weekend.

8. Dayton

Dayton
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8. Dayton

Dayton
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Adjusted Offense: 112.9 rating
Dayton scores 37.6 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 99.8 rating
Dayton allows 33.3 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.

7. Connecticut

Connecticut
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7. Connecticut

Connecticut
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Adjusted Offense: 111.8 rating
Connecticut scores 37.3 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 93.7 rating
Connecticut allows 31.2 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.

6. Kentucky

Kentucky
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6. Kentucky

Kentucky
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Adjusted Offense: 117.0 rating
Kentucky scores 39.0 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 96.1 rating
Kentucky allows 32.0 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.

5. Michigan

Michigan
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5. Michigan

Michigan
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Adjusted Offense: 123.4 rating
Michigan scores 41.1 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 101.2 rating
Michigan allows 33.7 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.

4. Michigan State

Michigan State
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4. Michigan State

Michigan State
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Adjusted Offense: 118.2 rating
Michigan State scores 39.4 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 93.4 rating
Michigan State allows 31.1 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.

3. Wisconsin

Wisconsin
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3. Wisconsin

Wisconsin
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Adjusted Offense: 120.3 rating
Wisconsin scores 40.1 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 97.2 rating
Wisconsin allows 32.4 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.

2. Arizona

Arizona
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2. Arizona

Arizona
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Adjusted Offense: 115.1 rating
Arizona scores 38.4 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 88.4 rating
Arizona allows 29.5 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.

1. Florida

Florida
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1. Florida

Florida
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Adjusted Offense: 116.2 rating
Florida scores 38.7 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.
Adjusted Defense: 88.7 rating
Florida allows 29.6 percent of the maximum amount of 300 points on 100 possessions.