Mountain West Conference: Week Seven Predictions

Derek Carr Fresno State

Troy Babbitt-US Presswire

 

Week six was another solid week for yours truly going 5-1 predicting winners for the Mountain West. That makes me 11-1 over the past two weeks. Bragging aside, the more games Mountain West teams play, the more their true character comes out.

Here are the predictions for week seven. Enjoy games as always!

All times Mountain

Nevada Wolf Pack (5-1) (2-0) at UNLV Rebels (1-5) (1-0) 1pm

The Fremont Cannon is on the line in Las Vegas this weekend. Reno has taken seven strait in the annual rivalry game. Will 2012 prove to be a different story for the Rebels? There’s a chance. Nevada QB Cody Fajardo is a question coming in as he left last week’s game early due to back spasms.

Even if Fajardo can’t suit up, Devin Combs has looked capable of running the pistol offense, and Stefphon Jefferson is a yards machine at running back. Nick Sherry continues to develop under center for UNLV. Tim Cornett must, and I repeat must, have a big game on the ground to give the Rebs a chance.

Prediction: Nevada 35 UNLV 26

Fresno State Bulldogs (4-2) (2-0) at 24 Boise State Broncos (4-1) (1-0) 1:30pm

This is as close as the Mountain West is getting to a big time intra-conference showdown. Fresno State is led by star and NFL quarterback prospect Derek Carr (pictured above). Robbie Rouse is a dynamic back, and receiver Davante Adams completes the three-headed monster.

At home, the Broncos are tough to beat. FSU has the horses to pull it off. Expect turnovers. Fresno is first in the FBS with 18 takeaways and BSU is second with 17. I’ve said it a million times, Joe Southwick must find a way to keep better defenses honest. My guess is the Dogs find a few more big plays thanks to the edge under center.

Prediction: Fresno State 26 Boise State 23

Colorado State Rams (1-5) (0-2) at San Diego State Aztecs (3-3) (1-1) 4:30pm

Facing another ugly season, and possibly one worse than the three previous under Steve Fairchild, current head coach Jim McElwain needs a W. Saturday will be a tough match-up for the Rammies as the Aztecs like to push the ball on the ground behind Adam Muema and Walter Kazee.

Because of injury CSU is without Garrett Grayson at QB who is being replaced by M.J. McPeek. The senior has looked the same as Grayson if not better at passing the football. SDSU has been giving up points on defense but has been respectable defending the run (27th in the FBS). If Chris Nwoke struggles carrying the rock Saturday, expect the Aztecs to pull away sooner rather than later.

Prediction: Colorado State 26 San Diego State 38

 

Cody Getz Air Force Falcons

Ron Chenoy-US Presswire

 

Air Force Falcons (2-3) (1-1) at Wyoming Cowboys (1-4) (0-1) 5pm

Air Force was a turnover machine in last week’s loss to the Navy Midshipmen with three giveaways. The final turnover was recovered by Navy in the end zone to effectively end the game in overtime. If the Falcons can keep the ball in their hands they should have an advantage over Wyoming.

Against the run, the Cowboys have been soft, but did show some life against Nevada. Cody Getz (above) is a pint-sized monster carrying the football for an average of 177.4 a game. Will Getz be enough for Air Force to overcome a weak defense? With Brett Smith back throwing the ball and Robert Herron on the outside stretching the D, I’ll take Wyoming to outscore the Falcons at home.

Prediction: Air Force 31 Wyoming 35

New Mexico Lobos (3-3) (0-1) at Hawaii Warriors (1-4) (0-2) 10pm

Who says you have to be a pro to play on Sundays? A midnight Eastern kickoff in Aloha Stadium will keep a few New Mexico fans up late. Could the Lobos exceed their total number of wins over the past three seasons with a victory at Hawaii?

With a run-first option game plan, New Mexico should find success against the Warriors who have a defense as intimidating as a teddy bear. Hawaii is a shell of its former self with a 110th FBS offense. Until Norm Chow has experience and the personnel he needs to run a balanced pro-style system, the numbers will be as bland as day old poi.

Prediction: New Mexico 29 Hawaii 27

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James Gomez is a Pac-12 and Mountain West columnist for Rant Sports and member of the Football Writers Association of America. You can follow James on Twitter as well.

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