Most people wrote off Florida State’s BCS title chances after their 17-16 loss to North Carolina State, but I think that people (myself included) jumped to that conclusion a little too quickly. There is still a scenario that can play out in which the Seminoles could be playing for a National Championship in January.
First things first, the Seminoles bounced back yesterday with a 51-7 drubbing of Boston College. The only way that Florida State can even think about the BCS is if they finish the rest of their season without another loss. They started that part yesterday.
Florida State’s record is the only thing that the Seminoles have control over, but two other things must happen in order to make FSU a legitimate contender again. They already have a win over a top 10 team in Clemson (currently ranked 14th), but they have two more chances at season defining wins.
The first is a road game on November 8th against Virginia Tech. The Hokies have been disappointing early this season, but they appeared to finally turn it around in Saturday’s game against a solid Duke team. Tech has two more games before their matchup with the Seminoles.
The first is on the road against the previously mentioned Clemson and the second is against a good Miami team. If the Hokies can pull the upset in both of those road matchups then there is a very good chance that Virginia Tech will work their way back into the lower end of the polls. If the Hokies can do that and then Florida State beats them it will help the Seminoles position in the polls.
The second is the last game of the season against archrival Florida. The Gators are currently ranked 3rd in the polls and have a very good chance at finishing the season undefeated. In the next two weeks Florida will face its two toughest tests this season with games against South Carolina and Georgia. The game against South Carolina is at home and the Georgia game is a neutral site game as per usual.
If the Gators can get past those two opponents with its record unscathed than they should be able to run through their next three games with relative ease (Missouri, Louisiana-Lafayette & Jacksonville State). If that scenario plays out then it will set up a monster showdown with the Seminoles in Tallahassee.
Now, this scenario probably won’t play out as I have laid it out. I doubt Virginia Tech will beat Clemson in Death Valley and anything can happen when Florida and Georgia get together. But, if the stars do align and this all happens then Florida State could work their way back into the national title discussion and possibly into the game. However, if this is to play out then Florida State has to take care of business, if they don’t then this whole conversation is for naught.