Week eight wasn’t my best work going 2-2 in predicting winners for the Mountain West. The biggest upset in my opinion was the San Diego State Aztecs pulling off an overtime win on the road opposite the Nevada Wolf Pack. A close game in Colorado Springs was no surprise between the New Mexico Lobos and the Air Force Falcons. My mistake was going with UNM.
Here are the predictions for week nine. As always enjoy the games!
All times Mountain.
Nevada Wolf Pack (6-2) (3-1) at Air Force Falcons (4-3) (3-1) Friday 6pm
This was supposed to be the game that would have featured the two of the top three running backs in the Mountain West with Stefphon Jefferson and Cody Getz. Unfortunately for Falcons fans, Getz is doubtful for Friday’s game along with fellow back Anthony LaCoste. Wes Cobb (above) will have to carry the load.
With the Pack’s ability to score second to none in the conference, a weak Falcons D will have a difficult time containing not just Jefferson, but quarterback Cody Fajardo. This is where the Pack get back in the win column.
Prediction: Nevada 41 Air Force 20
21 Boise State (6-1) (3-0) at Wyoming Cowboys (1-6) (0-3) 1:30pm
Needless to say, the Cowboys have been making the national headlines for all the wrong reasons. Head coach Dave Christensen is suspended this week for his post-game comments directed at fellow head coach Troy Calhoun of Air Force. As ugly as the incident was, the Pokes face an equally ugly proposition on the field.
Boise State has been busy separating themselves from the rest of the conference. After their win against the Fresno State Bulldogs, Chris Petersen and company are looking to close out an undefeated run after their opening loss to the Michigan State Spartans. Joe Southwick has been effective as a distributor behind an offensive line that rarely allows sacks, and two outstanding backs in D.J. Harper and Jay Ajayi.
Prediction: Boise State 38 Wyoming 13
Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) (3-1) at New Mexico Lobos (4-4) (1-2) 1:30pm
New Mexico has already secured their best season in several years. If the Lobos are to dream even bigger a win this Saturday would be huge. A near miss against Boise State in Albuquerque should give UNM enough confidence to feel they have a shot against the Bulldogs.
Winning the turnover battle will be difficult against Fresno State who has excelled at forcing turnovers. Expect the Lobos to play conservative and control the clock with their option running and Kasey Carrier having a bulk of the carries. FS is just too good on offense, and UNM is allowing 3rd down conversions at 50%.
Prediction: Fresno State 37 New Mexico 24
Hawaii Warriors (1-5) (0-3) at Colorado State Rams (1-6) (0-3) 5pm
Question: if the two worst teams in the Mountain West play in Ft. Collins does it make a sound? Probably not how the original saying goes, but this could be a rough watch for football fans. Hawaii and CSU have the two worst offenses statistically within the conference.
The Rammies are down to third string QB and freshman Conner Smith. Original starter Garrett Grayson and second stringer M.J. McPeek are both questionable for the game. Also a question mark is stud running back Chris Nwoke. CSU is the 10th best FBS school when it comes to red zone scoring so at least that’s something. If the Rams can at least keep Nwoke on the field they should be able to move the ball against UH.
Prediction: Hawaii 19 Colorado State 28
UNLV Rebels (1-7) (1-2) at San Diego State Aztecs (5-3) (3-1) 6pm
Last week in Boise, Rebels quarterback Nick Sherry was repeatedly battered and had to leave the game early because of a back injury. The freshman is probable for this weekend, and UNLV will need him if they are to stand any chance at the upset.
A major advantage the Aztecs have is their stingy run defense. Running back Tim Cornett could have a tough time taking pressure of Sherry in the passing game. If that is the case, and it is likely, expect the Rebels to struggle as SDSU pulls away in the second half.
Prediction: UNLV 19 San Diego State 34