From the controversial days of Mike Leach, through the Tommy Tuberville reign, one thing has always remained consistent at Texas Tech: every season they manage to knock out top-tier contenders. Most Big 12 proponents will argue that from Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock (ranked one of the most intimidating venues for visitors), to the highly touted, and always pass-happy quarterback situation, the Red Raiders are not one to take lightly, especially on their own field.
Going into Saturday’s game against the #23 BCS ranked, 6-2 Texas Longhorns, the home advantage and stat lines favor the Red Raiders exponentially. TTU QB Seth Doege has been firing on all cylinders since the season began, having completed 224 passes (of 317 attempts), for 2,540-yards and 30 touchdowns.
Despite an offense who has outscored their opponents 332 points, to 261 in eight games, throughout the past few weeks, Texas’ head coach Mack Brown has been facing criticism for a defense that ranks 100th in the nation, allowing an average of 32.8 points per game.
I just don’t see how the Longhorns defense will be able to penetrate Doege, and the nation’s 3rd ranked passing team, who average 357.9 yards per game.
Not only have the Longhorns had issues on defense, it appears as though UT faithful are ready to stage a mutiny on 40-Acres if Mack Brown doesn’t get their QB situation taken care of.
David Ash has struggled this season, and despite a wrist injury against the Oklahoma Sooners on October 15th, Brown has named him the starter over Case McCoy, who demonstrated “poise under pressure” in his game-winning pass to Mike Davis against Kansas.
Ash is going into this game having thrown four picks against Kansas Jayhawks , Baylor Bears, and OU. If this trend continues, look for the Red Raiders defense to continue capitalizing on miscues, and adding to their interceptions this season.
With the exception of Oklahoma, Texas Tech has dismantled opponents at home this season (162 points, to 75 in four games combined), so I’m projecting a huge night for the #18 BCS Red Raiders, and a solo occupancy of the #3 spot in the Big 12 ranking come Sunday.
Look for members of the historic #7 ranked 2008 Texas Tech team (who beat then, #1 Texas at home, to go 7-0 in home games for the season) on the sidelines Saturday afternoon.