AAC: Computer Simulation at Surprising Odds with Media Poll
The American Athletic Conference held its first-ever Media Day today in Newport RI, and all of the coaches got up and said how excited they were about the season that begins in a month.
No one really knows who will win the conference, but the prohibitive favorite in the AAC’s Media poll is Louisville with its Heisman Trophy candidate quarterback Teddy Bridgewater.
The computer, though, says they can end the season now with a surprising challenger to the Cardinals emerging as champion. According to one CBS Sports computer simulation, the end-of-the-season champion will be Temple.
Tom Fornelli, a college football writer for CBS Sports.com, ran info on all of the teams through NCAA Football 14 and came up with Temple’s 9-3 overall and 6-2 conference record. Louisville finishes second due to a tie-breaking 27-20 loss to Temple in Philadelphia.
Of course, the recent history of college football is littered with teams anointed preseason champions who did not win the real championship and schools that come out of nowhere (see Northern Illinois last season) to appear in BCS bowls.
While the media poll says Temple will finish ninth in the new league formed out of the remnants of the old Big East, Fornelli’s NCAA 14 begs to differ. Since the modern day laptop and phone contains more intelligent memory than all of the computers that helped guide men to the moon and back in 1969, there’s something to be said for NCAA 14.
Whether it knows more than the various media polls will be determined closer to December but, if the computer is right, it cannot say “I told you so.” At least, not yet.