NCAA Football

5 Possible Week 6 College Football Upsets

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5 Possible Week 6 College Football Upsets

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

If the government shutdown has not directly affected your pocketbook yet, it might this college football weekend.

The games involving host Navy and Air Force in an already sold-out Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium and Army at Boston College are officially in “limbo” with a decision expected in a likely joint announcement by all four schools no later than noon Thursday.

That’s too bad because the lines involving those two games are among the most tempting on this week’s slate. Navy is a five-point favorite over Air Force and that’s a small line the extremely well-coached Middies of Ken Niumatalolo figure to easily cover. Army, which beat Boston College last year, is a dangerous underdog getting 12 against the same team, and that’s a lot of points to like.

Still, stay away from those two games until the official announcement is made Thursday, but a clue as to what it might happen came when Navy canceled its scheduled men’s soccer game with Howard on Tuesday night. So it doesn’t look good at this point.

Last week, we were right on picking Iowa State getting 3.5 points at Tulsa and the Cyclones won that game outright, 38-21. We were also right on Western Kentucky getting 1.5 points at home against Navy and the Hilltoppers rolled, 19-7 and George O’Leary and Central Florida came through for us once again, covering the seven-point spread in a 28-25 loss to South Carolina.

To be fair, Notre Dame let us down against visiting Oklahoma and Akron barely failed to cover the 15.5-point spread at Bowling Green, losing, 31-14, proving that you can’t win them all and the goal is just to win more than you lose.

Here are our five undervalued teams this week:

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5. Illinois Over Nebraska

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The Illini have been coming on of late, scoring over 40 points in each of their last four games, including an impressive 42-17 win over Cincinnati. The Cornhuskers are an inflated 10.5-point favorite in this game, despite owning an unimpressive three-point win over Wyoming.

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4. Ball State Over Virginia

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Despite his photo (above), the "sexiest" name among head-coaching candidates in this postseason could be Pete Lembo of the Cardinals. All Lembo does, like D.J. Khaled in the song, is win and he's 4-1 this year coming off a win over a good Toledo team. The Cavaliers, on the other hand, have trouble scoring points, ranked No. 82 in scoring and 102nd in passing. Virginia probably don't deserve to be five-point favorites, even at home.

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3. Iowa State Over Texas

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The Longhorns are 2-2 and an unimpressive 2-2 at that, giving up over 40 points in both of the losses. Despite that, they are nine-point favorites over the host Cyclones, who are coming off a 38-21 win over Tulsa and played a tough Iowa team, but lost by only a 27-21 score. Those nine points are way too much especially on the road.

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2. Nevada Over San Diego State

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The Wolf Pack are 3-2, coming off two-straight impressive wins, and offensive coordinator Nick Rolovich is a mastermind at the pistol offense and putting points on the scoreboard. They are getting 4.5 points on the road and should win this game outright on Friday night.

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1. Florida Atlantic Over UAB

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Some people get Florida Atlantic and Florida International confused. The two are mid-majors in South Florida, playing in the shadow of the University of Miami. FAU is the better team this year and is coming off a four-point loss at Rice in a battle between two teams nicknamed Owls last week. These Owls are getting five points at Alabama-Birmingham and should cover against a team whose only win is against Northwestern State.