College Football Upset Alert: 10 Teams That Should Be Worried in Week 6
Who Will Be Upset In Week 6?
Only one team in the top-25 lost last week — Oklahoma State in a 30-21 disappointment to West Virginia. This week, however, could see a variety of upsets.
There were a few near upsets last weekend, however. The University of Central Florida nearly took out South Carolina in Orlando, Fla. Down 28-10 in the fourth quarter, the Knights scored two straight touchdowns to deplete their deficit to three with just under two minutes left in the game. The Gamecocks, however, recovered the on-side kick and kneeled their way to a victory.
Wisconsin also almost earned an upset of its own. A 42-yard field goal at the 2:05 mark in the fourth brought the score to 31-24, and the Badgers were able to get another possession at their own 10 with 1:29 left in the game. The Buckeye defense, however, prevented Winsconsin from completing the upset as the Badgers were unable to gain another first down.
Two of the best games this weekend feature matchups between teams in the top-25, with the lower-ranked squads having legitimate chances of defeating their superior conference rivals.
The following top-25 teams should not overlook their opponents this weekend, because on any given Saturday, you never know what can happen. Here are 10 teams that are on upset alert for Week 6 in NCAA football action.
10. No. 21 Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
Oklahoma State (3-1, 0-1 Big 12) was upset last week by losing 30-12 at West Virginia, and needs to get back to its usual self in order to prevent another this weekend. The Cowboys' offense struggled mightily against West Virginia, scoring 15 less points than its season average and earning just 18 first downs compared to a 26 average thus far. The vulnerable Cowboys need not to look over the Wildcats on Saturday or else their woes will continue.
9. No. 19 Michigan vs. Minnesota
Michigan (4-0, 0-0 Big 10) has looked terrible in their last two games: They barely defeated 1-4 Akron by a score of 28-24 on Sept. 14, and had to come from 14 behind to UConn to win 24-21 the ensuing week. Though the Wolverines are coming off a bye and should be well rested, they are definitely poised for suffering an upset to the Golden Gophers.
Minnesota (4-1, 0-1 Big 10) has the 23rd best run game in the nation, averaging 231.8 yards per game. The Golden Gophers could run their way to an upset in Michigan's Big 10 opener on Saturday.
8. No. 11 Oklahoma vs. TCU
The Oklahoma Sooners (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) are coming off a 35-21 win last Saturday over then-No. 22 Notre Dame. If they don't move past their huge win over the Fighting Irish and focus on this weeks matchup against TCU, the Horned Frogs could sneak in for the upset.
TCU (2-2, 0-2 Big 12) is coming off a 48-17 rout of Souther Methodist last weekend. Its offense is starting to click despite early-season struggles and could re-establish itself as a Big 12 contender with a road upset over the Sooners.
7. No. 24 Ole Miss vs. Auburn
Both squads lost their previous games to big-time schools — Auburn a loss to then No. 6 LSU and Ole Miss a loss to No. 1 Alabama. Where Auburn has the upper hand is Ole Miss' sluggish offense that was unable to get anything going against Alabama. Yes, Auburn is not Alabama, but playing against such a tough offense had to take a physical toll on the Rebels — they totaled just 205 yards in a 25-0 loss a week ago.
Conversely, Auburn is coming off a bye week. The Tigers will be well rested and playing an Ole Miss team that is sure to have a few bumps and bruises. Auburn's home-field advantage could be the deciding factor in this possible upset.
6. No. 14 Miami vs. Georgia Tech
This matchup will see two of the best defenses in the nation: Georgia Tech (3-1, 2-1 ACC) ranks eighth with 12.8 points allowed per game, while Miami (4-0, 0-0 ACC) ranks one spot ahead at 12.5. Where the Yellow Jackets have a huge upper hand is their running game. They rank 10th in the nation with 291.3 yards per game. Georgia Tech will try and take advantage of this part of their game to earn the upset on the road.
Another upper hand Georgia Tech has, albeit a small one, is this will be Miami ACC season opener. With three conference games under their belt already this season, the Yellow Jackets will put their experiences to test.
5. No. 22 Arizona State vs. Notre Dame
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (3-2) will surely try and take advantage of their blossoming run game to capture this upset over Arizona State (3-1, 1-1 Pac-12). The Sun Devils have allowed a total of 718 rushing yards over the past three weeks, bad enough for sixth-most in the nation over that span. Notre Dame, meanwhile, is running on a rejuvenated run game that went for 220 yards behind junior George Atkinson.
The quarterbacks from both teams have been struggling as of late, so this contest could come down to the run game. If the Sun Devils don't iron their ground game problems, the Fighting Irish could pull off this upset at home.
4. No. 18 Florida vs. Arkansas
Florida (3-1, 2-0 SEC) has won eight straight over a struggling Arkansas squad (3-2, 0-1 SEC), who has lost three straight overall entering Saturday's matchup. The Gators' star running back Matt Jones is coming off an early-season illness and may not have a huge impact. The Razorbacks, however, bring one of the best ground attacks in the NCAA behind Alex Collins and Jonathan Williams.
Meanwhile, Florida's run defense rank atop the NCAA in terms of yards allowed per game. Still though, Arkansas' dynamic duo can make a significant mark in Saturday's game. The Razorbacks nearly pulled off this upset in 2009 during the two teams' most recent meeting — Florida won on a 27-yard field goal with nine seconds remaining.
3. No. 10 LSU vs. Mississippi State
LSU (4-1, 1-1 SEC) is coming off an upset last weekend to Georgia, who leapfrogged the Tigers in almost every national poll. This week could be the same story if they don't pay attention to Mississippi State. The Bulldogs (2-2, 0-1 SEC) played Auburn on the road very tough are are coming off a 62-7 romp of Troy University.
If LSU doesn't have its head straight on its shoulders and completely move on from last weekend's loss to Georgia, the Tigers could be in trouble. Mississippi State has dropped its last 13 games to LSU, but if the Tigers have yet to move on from taking a huge to its BCS Bowl hopes it could see a second upset in as many weeks.
2. No. 5 Stanford vs. No. 15 Washington
The Washington Huskies (4-0, 1-0 Pac-12) have been the biggest surprise in the Pac-12 thus far in the 2013 season. Their strong defense is allowing the fourth least points in the nation at 10.8 per game. A season-opening upset of Boise State opened many eyes, and Stanford (4-0, 2-0 Pac-12) shouldn't rest on its early-season laurels. The Cardinal's lone impressive win this season came in Week 4 at home over Arizona State, a game in which it allowed 28 points to the Sun Devils — a significant difference from its 19.5 average this season.
Washington will be a true test for Stanford. Both teams are 4-0, and the Huskies will be ready for a road upset to bolster its bowl résumé.
1. No. 4 Ohio State vs. No. 16 Northwestern
This is the marquee matchup of this weekend's NCAA football action. Ohio State (5-0, 1-0 Big 10) has the longest active win streak in the nation at 17 straight games. The Buckeyes, however, will travel to a very hostile environment in Ryan Field and face a Northwestern team (4-0, 0-0 Big 10) that looks ready to make an even deeper splash into the national spotlight.
The Wildcats bring the 18th-best running game and 21st highest average scoring in the NCAA to the table. The Buckeyes feature an even more dynamic offense, ranking 12th in rushing yards and 6th in average scoring per game. Look for Northwestern's home-field advantage to play a huge role in its potential upset of Ohio State on Saturday night.