5 Possible Week 11 College Football Upsets
5 Week 11 Upset Specials
Every once in a while the oddsmakers in Las Vegas are stumped, and this week a rather obscure game becomes a prime example.
Old Dominion, a FCS program last year transitioning to FBS this season, visits perhaps the worst or second-worst FBS program in the country, Idaho, and the game opened off the board and has stayed off the board for the last two days.
That’s a shame because I assumed going into the weekend that this line would be three points either way and, if that happened, I would bet the house, the farm, the car and my second car on Old Dominion. Idaho is that bad. If anything Idaho proved this season, it is that the team it defeated, Temple, might be the most poorly-coached team in the FBS because the Vandals were beaten by 40-6 and 48-24 scores by mediocre teams like North Texas and Arkansas State. Those coaching staffs got the job done against Idaho; Temple's did not.
When a game opens off the books and remains off the books for two days, it is a good indication that it will stay that way the rest of the week. If, by some miracle, it becomes available, I will be the first to take that flight out to Las Vegas to (legally) bet on the Monarchs.
As far as our picks last week, we’re still looking for that first perfect week after going 3-2 four of the last five weeks (a 2-3 was mixed in there two weeks ago). Arkansas State came through for us as a three-point underdog, South Florida also came through, keeping it a lot closer than expected in a 35-23 loss to Houston and Navy easily covered the 17-point spread in a 38-34 loss at Notre Dame. Our losses were Wake Forest at Syracuse and Army at Air Force.
Since we cannot have lock-of-the-year Old Dominion, we’re picking these five upsets this week.
Mike Gibson, an Associated Press Sports Editors’ Association and Keystone Press Association award-winner for Best Sports Story and Best Sports Feature, is a writer for RantSports.com. Follow him on Twitter @papreps , “Like” him on Facebook or add him to your network on Google.
5. Air Force Over New Mexico
This is a Friday night game that many across the country will be able to watch. The good news is that both teams are ranked in the top 10 in the country in rushing. The bad news is that neither team is able to pass. The Falcons are ranked No. 122 in passing yardage while the Lobos are No. 120. The Falcons are getting three points on the road and should ride the momentum of their 42-28 win over Army last week to an upset win.
4. Virginia Tech Over Miami
Even though the game is at Miami, the Hurricanes do not enjoy a strong home-field advantage since many of the seats are unoccupied. Plus, the Hurricanes have not overwhelmed lesser foes, needing a late touchdown to beat Wake Forest, 24-21, two weeks ago. The Hokies are better than Wake Forest and should cover the seven points.
3. Vanderbilt Over Florida
Both teams have 4-4 records, but the Commodores own a 31-27 win over a Georgia team that beat the Gators last week. Given that fact, the 10.5 points is way too high a line to pass up against a team which has lost three-straight games.
2. Tulane Over Texas-San Antonio
The 6-3 Green Wave have proven to be ready for their transition from C-USA to the AAC next year, and head coach Curtis Johnson has been quietly doing one of the best jobs in the FBS this season, having his team bowl eligible. Tulane has won four of its last five and should be able to cover the 7.5-point spread against UTSA.
1. Houston Over Central Florida
The Cougars have proven to be a solid pick all season and they score way too many points to be getting 10.5 points, even at UCF. This is a battle of league unbeaten teams in the AAC and should go right down to the wire with the Cougars pulling it out in the end.