NCAA Football

5 Possible College Football Upsets in Week 13

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5 Possible Week 13 Upsets

Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

As Emily Latilla would have said on the classic Saturday Night Live, it’s always something.

In the case of this week’s college football odds, the something is the eye-catching number of 57, and that represents the points Florida State is favored to beat visiting Idaho by this week. That doesn't even represent the highest point spread of the season as Miami was favored by 60 over Savannah State earlier this season and promptly covered, winning, 77-7.

This one figures to be another sucker line as Florida State is that good and Idaho is that bad. The Seminoles are arguably the best team in the country and Idaho is arguably the worst. For someone who looks for inflated lines, 57 points is always tempting when the team getting those is not named Idaho or Savannah State.

The smart college football investor would be wise to stay away from that line. Florida State might score 100 in this game, having beaten a much better Wake Forest team by 56. Idaho is coming off a 59-14 loss at Mississippi, and it could have been worse.

The way to beat the odds this year has been to look for underdogs who have consistently stumped the sports books and maybe rivalry games that always bring out the best in an under-performing team. One such rivalry game this week is California getting 31.5 points at Stanford. That’s the more tempting line than the 57 Idaho is getting because it’s a short trip for Bears’ fans and because the Cardinal, while owning an impressive win over Oregon, have always shown a tendency to let up on the gas pedal. One such game for Stanford was a 34-20 win at Army.

Fortunately, though, there are five underdogs who stand a better chance of winning this weekend.

Mike Gibson, an Associated Press Sports Editors’ Association and Keystone Press Association award-winner for Best Sports Story and Best Sports Feature, is a writer for Follow him on Twitter @papreps , “Like” him on Facebook or add him to your network on Google.

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5. Navy Over San Jose State

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The Middies are coached by Ken Niumatalolo, one of the best in the FBS. Unfortunately for the Spartans, last year's hottest coaching commodity, Mike MacIntyre, no longer the head coach there and now works on turning the Colorado program around. Navy will more than cover the 2.5. It will win the game outright.

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4. South Florida Over SMU

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Another matchup between an up-and-coming head coach, Willie Taggart of the Bulls, against a guy, June Jones of the Mustangs, who has seen better days. Taggart has the Bulls playing hard enough to contain SMU's explosive offense.

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3. Memphis Over Louisville

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Tigers were surprisingly competitive against Central Florida early in the season and are getting 24.5 points against a Louisville team that lost to the Knights. Now that it looks like UCF will clinch the title some starch might have gone out of Louisville, and this is a statement game for the Tigers.

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2. Michigan Over Iowa

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The Wolverines are coming off a last-second win over Northwestern and should ride that momentum to at least covering the six against an Iowa team with three double-digit losses in its last four games.

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1. Vanderbilt Over Tennessee

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

The Vols are favored by 2.5 primarily because they are home, but the Commodores are also from the same state and will bring a large contingent of fans, negating that advantage.